Wizard Daily Report - Saturday, 21 December 2024
- Bringing it all together - The Wizard MATRIX Report (NEW)
- Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Jockey Challenge ratings
- Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results, Friday December 20
Bringing it all together - The Wizard MATRIX Report (NEW)
Wizard has pioneered the provision of user-friendly ratings/form-rich reports that aim to make the process of selection (and betting) fact-based. The Wizard reports focus on the key factors that largely determine the outcome of a race.
The ultimate aim of this process has been to integrate into one report the key information from various Wizard reports. We have now released the beta version of that report - Wizard MATRIX.
The Wizard Matrix report brings together key information from other Wizard reports, specifically - Essentials, Raceday, Watch, and Magic.
There is one basic Matrix report, which is posted to the everyrace website twice on race morning (to allow for scratchings to be processed).
- around 10:30am (incorporating scratchings for NSW, Vic, Tasmania, Queensland, N.T.)
- around 12 noon (updated for scratchings from W.A.)
There are three variations of the Matrix report.
- Wizard Matrix (First Four)
- Wizard Matrix (Full Field)
- Wizard Matrix (Abridged)
Space limitations do not allow for a full description of the Matrix report on this page, so an abridged description is provided with a link to the full content explanation at the end of this description.
Wizard Matrix (First Four) 17/12/2024
In the Matrix (First Four) report shown here, and in the Matrix (Full Field) report there are two panels.
The left panel (panel 1) focuses on the ratings and odds profile of each qualifying runner, and also highlights where that runner has been identified as a key horse in one or more of the Raceday, Watch, and Magic reports.
The right panel (panel 2) provides a range of ratings and form-related information as well as significant trainer and jockey stats from the Magic and Raceday reports.
In summary, Matrix (First Four) and Matrix (Full Field) bring together a broad range of key performance indicators from Wizard's other in-depth reports.
On the other hand, Matrix (Abridged) focuses on the LHS panel and is ideal for those users who prefer to concentrate their race analysis on the top four Wizard Wrat rated runners and their odds-related information, but also wish to know if any of these top-four runners are also qualifiers in other key Wizard reports.
Panel 1 (left) - Description of content
# - Tab or racebook number
Horse name - Name of the runner
W - The Wizard Wrat ranking
Note: Matix (First Four) focuses on the top 4 Wrat runners but where a horse outside the top 4 Wrat runners is a qualifier in Rday, Watch, or Magic reports it is added to this list.)
Rday - A Raceday report qualifier that is two (**) or four (****) flagged.
Watch - A Wizard Watch Morning Movers qualifier.
Magic - A qualifier from the Wizard Magic report.
AOdds - The Wizard Assessed Odds for the race, adjusted for scratchings.
AO% - The Wizard Assessed Odds expressed as a percentage.
EOam - The (average) early race-morning odds offered by wagering operators, adjusted to a full market percentage of 120%.
Note: Where a horse has firmed 3% or more from its average race-eve odds this is highlighted by an asterisk (*).
EO% - Wagering operator average early race-morning odds expressed as a percentage. For example, a horse priced by bookmakers at $7.00 would be assessed as a 14.3% chance of winning.
MaxR - A ratings assessment based on an analysis of key ratings/form/odds information embodied in this Matrix report.
Panel 2 (right) - Description of content
WMHER - The runner's ranking on Wizard's WRat, WMod, WHCP, WExpk ratings and the Raceday Report qualifier.
Cycle (Runs From Spell) - Shows any pattern of success for the horse at this stage of its previous preparations.
F/N (Filter, Negatives) - Wizard examines and reports on some key positives and negatives facing each runner in the race. In the Matrix report a horse which meets the Filter criteria is highlighted with a "F" in this column; a runner with no negatives is highlighted with an "N".
Pace - The running style of a horse is often an important factor in deciding the outcome of a race, with history showing that horses that race in or near to the lead, especially by the home turn, can enjoy an advantage over backmarkers. The coding used in the Pace column is as follows: F (frontrunner), O (on pace), M (midfield and off pace), B (backmarker).
TCDW - This Matrix column provides a quick reference guide as to how a runner has performed under four key conditions racetrack, class, distance, going.
Form - The finishing positions of the horse in its last four starts.
Win% - In this column Matrix shows the number of career wins and the current win percentage. Horses without a win (maidens) will have no win details recorded in this column but with the horse's number of career starts in brackets.
Dist - Shown here is the number of wins recorded by each horse at this distance or over a distance within 10% of the distance of the forthcoming race, and the number of starts in this range.
Tr Magic - This information is drawn from the Wizard Magic report and shows the win strike rate achieved by a trainer over the last 6 years.
Trn% - This trainer-related statistic is drawn from the Wizard Raceday report.
Jk/Tr % - This jockey-trainer combination statistic shows the number of winners from the stable and its strike rate when the runners started in the $2.00 to $5.90 odds range, and when the rider is the same as that engaged to ride the horse in the coming race.
Jk50% - This stat is drawn from a special "jockey form" look-up facility on the Wizard, which shows the details of each jockey's last 50 rides, and the win percentage from those 50 rides. It is that win percentage which is included in the Matrix report.
Click here for a full explanation of the Wizard Matrix report.
Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Jockey Challenge ratings for six meetings
Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard Plus reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today the Wizard Jockey Challenge ratings for six meetings. All Wizard reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.
Wizard provides Jockey Challenge ratings for each meeting covered.
To find the Wizard Jockey Challenge ratings follow these steps:
- Go to Wizard/everyrace.com home page
- Click on WIZARD FEATURES in the right-hand panel of the screen
- Scroll down to PURCHASED CONTENT
- Click on STATS & FACTS
- Choose a meeting, and click on that meeting
- Click on the Jockey Challenge down arrow, that's it!
| Pakenham | | | Randwick | | | Murray Bridge | |
| Jockey | Points | | Jockey | Points | | Jockey | Points |
| Chad Schofield | 9 | | Chad Schofield | 9 | | Rochelle Milnes | 14 |
| Zac Lloyd | 9 | | Zac Lloyd | 9 | | Alana Livesey | 7 |
| Tim Clark | 9 | | Tim Clark | 9 | | Taylor Johnstone | 6 |
| Jay Ford | 6 | | Jay Ford | 6 | | Kayla Crowther | 6 |
| Molly Bourke | 5 | | Molly Bourke | 5 | | Jason Holder | 5 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 5 | | Dylan Browne McMonagle | 5 | | Matthew Chadwick | 3 |
| Benjamin Osmond | 4 | | Benjamin Osmond | 4 | | Jake Toeroek | 3 |
| Tyler Schiller | 3 | | Tyler Schiller | 3 | | Lachlan Neindorf | 3 |
| Zac Wadick | 3 | | Zac Wadick | 3 | | Teagan Voorham | 2 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 2 | | Kerrin McEvoy | 2 | | Todd Pannell | 2 |
| Harry Davies | 1 | | Harry Davies | 1 | | Ben Price | 1 |
| Amy McLucas | 1 | | Amy McLucas | 1 | | Jacob Opperman | 1 |
| Rachel King | 1 | | Rachel King | 1 | | Callan Murray | 1 |
| | | | | | | | |
| Eagle Farm | | | Ascot | | | Wyong | |
| Jockey | Points | | Jockey | Points | | Jockey | Points |
| Angela Jones | 8 | | Brad Parnham | 15 | | Braith Nock | 5 |
| Andrew Mallyon | 6 | | Clint Johnston-Porter | 9 | | Andrew Adkins | 4 |
| Bailey Wheeler | 5 | | Steven Parnham | 5 | | Alysha Collett | 4 |
| Jason Collett | 5 | | Jason Whiting | 4 | | Keagan Latham | 4 |
| Regan Bayliss | 5 | | Shaun Mc Gruddy | 4 | | Mollie FitzgeraldM | 3 |
| Ronnie Stewart | 3 | | Craig Staples | 3 | | Jenny Duggan | 3 |
| Ryan Maloney | 3 | | Holly Watson | 3 | | Mitchell Bell | 3 |
| Emily Lang | 3 | | Luke Campbell | 3 | | Robbie Downey | 3 |
| Cody Collis | 3 | | Laqdar Ramoly | 2 | | Jean Van Overmeire | 2 |
| Kyle Wilson-Taylor | 3 | | Manoel Nunes | 2 | | Rory Hutchings | 2 |
| Cejay Graham | 3 | | Lucy Fiore | 2 | | Chad Lever | 1 |
| Robbie Dolan | 2 | | Shaun O'Donnell | 1 | | Louise Day | 1 |
| Raul Silvera Olivera | 2 | | Patrick Carbery | 1 | | | |
| Boris Thornton | 2 | | | | | | |
| Mark Du Plessis | 1 | | | | | | |
| Taylor Marshall | 1 | | | | | | |
Wizard Ratings Results for Friday, December 20
The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.
| Fri 20.12.24 | | Race 1 | Race 2 | Race 3 | Race 4 | Race 5 | Race 6 | Race 7 | Race 8 | Race 9 | Top rated | Top 2 rated |
| | SOT | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER |
| CANTERBURY | g4 | - - - - 0 | 1 1 1 3 1 | - - - - - | - 3 1. 1. 1 | - 3 - - - | 3 - - 3 - | - - 2 2. - | 3 - - 1 0 | | 1 1 2. 2. 2 | 1 1 3. 3. 0 |
| CRANBOURNE | g4g3 | - - 2 2 - | 1 1 1 2 - | - - - - - | 1 1 1 1 1 | 1 1 - 1. 1 | - 3 3 - - | - - 1 1 - | - - - 2 0 | | 3 3 3 3. 2 | 3 3 4 6. 0 |
| DEVONPORT SYNTHETIC | aw | - - - - - | 1 1 1 3. - | 3 3 1 3 - | 2 1 - 2 - | - - - - - | 3 - 3. 2 - | 1 2 1 2 1 | - 3. - 3. - | | 2 2 3 0 1 | 3 3 3 3 0 |
| GATTON | h8s6 | 2 - 1 3 - | - - - - 0 | - - - - - | - - - - - | 2 2 2 3 - | 1 1 - - 1 | - 2 1 3 - | 1 - 1. 3. 1 | - - 3. 2. 0 | 2 1 3. 0 2 | 4 3 4. 1. 0 |
| GOLD COAST | g4 | 1 1 - - 1 | - - - - - | - - - - - | - - - - - | 0 0 0 0 0 | 3 2 2. 3 - | - - - - - | 2 3 1. - 1 | | 1 1 2. 1. 2 | 2 2 3. 1. 0 |
| GOULBURN | g4 | - - - - 0 | - - - - - | - - - - - | - - - - 0 | - - - - - | - - - - 0 | | | | 0 0 0 0 - | 0 0 0 0 0 |
| LISMORE | h10s6 | 2 3 3 2 - | 2 1 2 2 - | - - 2 2 - | - - - - - | - - - - - | - - - 1 - | 2 1 - - 1 | - 3 - - - | | 0 2 0 1 1 | 3 2 2 4 0 |
| OAKBANK | g4 | - - - - - | 1 1 1 3. 1 | 1 2 - 3. 1 | 1 1 3. - 1 | - - - - - | - 1 3. - - | - - - - - | 2 1 - - 1 | | 3 4 1 0 4 | 4 5 1 0 0 |
| YARRA VALLEY | s5g4 | 1 1 1 3 1 | 1 1 3 3. 1 | - - 3. - - | 1 2 2 2 1 | - - - - 0 | - - - - - | 1 3 - - 1 | - 2 - 2. - | | 4 2 1 0 4 | 4 4 2 2. 0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Wrat 16 70 | Wrat 24 70 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 22.90% | 34.30% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Rday 18 61 | Rday no qual |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 29.50% | |
Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R)
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results
The full day-by-day results for the week so far:
| | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 28.6% | 40.9% | 19.2% | 16.7% | 22.9% | | | |
| Wrat top-two rated | 50.0% | 59.1% | 50.9% | 40.0% | 34.3% | | | |
| Wrat top-three rated | 57.1% | 68.2% | 59.6% | 70.0% | 41.4% | | | |
| Wrat top-four rated | 85.7% | 77.3% | 75.0% | 86.7% | 55.7% | | | |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 30.8% | 40.9% | 26.7% | 23.1% | 29.5% | | | |