Wizard Daily Report and Research Wednesday, 17 April 2024.
- Trainer Snapshot - Joe Pride
- Wizard Ratings Results for Tuesday, April 16
Trainer Snapshot - Joseph Pride
Joseph (Joe) Pride is based at Warwick Farm in Sydney and has 50 boxes available in his stable. He began his training career in 2000 after working with John Size for four years. His first Group 1 winner was Red Oog in the 2005 Doomben 10,000 and his latest Group 1 winners are Think About It and Private Eye. For the past 10 years Joe has consistently been in the top 10 Sydney Trainer Premiership and is 9th in this current 2023-20224 season.
Watch and Wait
With some trainers there are indicators that are especially worth noting. It is a matter of watching and waiting for the right conditions occur. It might be that the trainer out-performs with runners having their first start after a spell, or in sprint races rather than over longer distances, or backing up for a repeat win in a given time period. When these 'key metrics' are in play it is worthwhile paying particular attention to the runner.
The following information is based on an analysis of results delivered by Joe Pride's runners who started at odds less than $10.00. All "out-performing" results reported below were flat-stakes profitable over the past 5 years and show the win percentage and the impact value.
2YO horses
Insufficient runners for any assessment.
3yo horses
- Days since last run: 8-14 days: 24.3%, 1.2iv
- Finish position last start: won last start: 29.5%, 1.4iv
- Weight change from last start: -3.0kg to -0.5kg: 26.7%, 1.3iv
4YO and older horses
- Runs from a spell: first-up: 23.6%, 1.2iv
- Days since last run: 22-28 days: 25.0%, 1.3iv
- Days since last run: 60-179 days: 25.0%, 1.3iv
- Days since last win: 8 to 14 days: 25.8%, 1.3iv
- Days since last win: 30-60 days: 27.0%, 1.4iv
- Finish position last start: won last start: 24.6%, 1.2iv
General Comment
Joe Pride excels with sprinters, basically in races up to 1600m. Certainly his stable does win longer races but it is fair to say that he concentrates on the shorter events. A stable-by-stable comparison with some other top 10 trainers shows:
Percentage of runners by distance range
<1700m 1700m+
Joe Pride 91% 9%
Chris Waller 72% 28%
Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott 80% 20%
Ciaron Maher 76% 24%
Trainer & Jockey Combination (Joe Pride)
This table examines the trainer-jockey combinations under three conditions:
- When the horse is the Wrat 100 pointer and started at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse runs as the race favourite at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse starts at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
| From 01/08/2022 To 16/04/2024 | | 100 | | | | | fav | | | | | 2-5.9 | | |
| Joseph Pride with | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp |
| Alysha Collett | 50.00% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 40.00% | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30.00% | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Brad Rawiller | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.00% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brenton Avdulla | 33.30% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25.00% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22.20% | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Chad Schofield | 66.70% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33.30% | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 33.30% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
| Jason Collett | 33.30% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20.00% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20.00% | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Jay Ford | 0.00% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15.40% | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Jean Van Overmeire | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50.00% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshua Parr | 66.70% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 42.90% | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 35.70% | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Keagan Latham | 0.00% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50.00% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22.20% | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Nash Rawiller | 50.00% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28.60% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21.40% | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| Reece Jones | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.00% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28.60% | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Rory Hutchings | 14.30% | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14.30% | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16.70% | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Sam Clipperton | 62.50% | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 68.80% | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 39.50% | 17 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| Tim Clark | 0.00% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14.30% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Tom Sherry | - | - | - | - | - | 100.00% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.00% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tommy Berry | 66.70% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66.70% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42.90% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Tyler Schiller | 14.30% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15.40% | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16.70% | 4 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| William Pike | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50.00% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
The statistics cover the stable's runners throughout Australia.
The period covered is from 1 August 2022, so last season and the current season. (Older results for trainer-jockey combinations not really relevant.)
- If you have a particular trainer or jockey you would like snapped please feel free to drop me a line at: Wiz-Ed@everyrace.com
Wizard Ratings Report for the meetings on Tuesday, April 16
The following table shows the where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk. The Wrat analysis applies to both Wizard and Wizard Plus. The Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk analysis applies to the ratings included in the Wizard Plus 'Plus Panel'.
| Tue 16.04.24 | | Race 1 | Race 2 | Race 3 | Race 4 | Race 5 | Race 6 | Race 7 | Race 8 | Race 9 | Race 10 | meeting |
| | SOT | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | wmhe | w m h e |
| BALLARAT | g4g | - - - - | 1 1 3 2. | - - - - | 1 3 1 3 | 3 2 - - | 2 - - - | - - - 1. | 1 1 1. 1 | | | 3 2 2. 2. |
| SCONE | g4 | 3 2 1 1. | 2 - 3 - | - - - - | - 2 - 1 | 3 1 - - | 1 1 1. 3 | 2 3 1. - | 1 2 3 - | | | 2 2 3. 2. |
Header: w m h e = Wrat (w), Wmod (m), Whcp (h), Wexpk (e)
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results
Warren - Wiz-Ed
If you have any comment or suggestions about the Wizard Daily articles please feel free to drop me a line at:
Wiz-Ed@everyrace.com