The Betting Essentials Book on Horse Racing by Warren Block

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KILMORE 31/03NEWCASTLE 31/03TOWNSVILLE 31/03

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"Winningest" jockeys, Winning Jockeys back-on, SNAPSHOT Ashley Morgan

BETTING ESSENTIALS - RA says: "There is a wealth of information. The statistics and form patterns are most informative."

 

Warren Block's Daily Report - Tuesday, 31 March 2026

  • "Winningest" jockeys, Winning Jockeys back-on, SNAPSHOT Ashley Morgan
  • Wizard Freebie - Wizard Raceday report
  • Matrix - day by day analysis of Tuesday and Wednesday racing
  • Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives Results

 

"Winningest" jockeys, Winning Jockeys back-on, SNAPSHOT Ashley Morgan

Here is the list of jockeys who rode at least a double at any of the Tab meetings last week, along with the trainers for whom they rode the winners. This table is colour coded to highlight the outperformers and it is definitely worth noting these riders and combinations.

It is also worth noting when a jockey who has previously won on a horse is replacing a rider who has not done so. Whilst history shows that this is not a prime indicator of likely success, it is significant in some cases.

The list below shows the winning horses last week that raced with a (previous) winning jockey replacing a rider who had not previously been successful on the horse.

Jockey SNAPSHOT profile

To add to this weekly insight, here is a Snapshot Profile of a jockey (via ChatGPT et al) which makes for some interesting reading.

Ashley (Ash) Morgan is a Welsh-born jockey who has been enjoying particular success on the New South Wales provincial and country circuit since arriving in Australia in 2018. Now in his mid-30s, he has amassed nearly 700 career wins, including multiple premierships and breakthrough elite victories. johntapp+1[youtube]

Early Life and UK Career

Born near Cardiff, Wales, Ashley grew up riding hunters and point-to-point horses owned by his grandfather. By 13-14, he rode trackwork for local trainers, initially eyeing jumps racing but switching to flats after advice from trainer Phillip Hobbs. [johntapp]

At 16, he apprenticed with Mark Tompkins at Newmarket. He then transferred to Ed Dunlop, amassing 70 wins including Royal Ascot and Newmarket rides, and a Paris victory. Disillusioned by unstable weight and fewer opportunities, he quit at 25 for London office jobs - real estate then recruitment - ballooning to 68kg before recommitting via gym work and trackwork in America. racingpost+1

Move to Australia

In 2018, an email to a dozen Aussie trainers yielded a break from Brett Cavanough at Scone, who hired him for trackwork. He claimed his first local win at Gilgandra on Hidden Chief. A treble at Muswellbrook in January 2019 (Artefiori, Emanuela for Paul Messara; Drusilla) ignited his career. He rode 45 winners in his first full Australian season (2018-19). A key milestone came in the 2021-22 season when he won the NSW Jockeys Premiership. In the 2024-25 season he had 110 wins in the NSW Jockeys Premiership at a 14.3% strike rate.  [johntapp]

Riding Locations

Ashley focuses on NSW country and provincial circuits: Dubbo, Mudgee, Narromine, Bathurst, Muswellbrook, Tamworth, Gulgong, Gilgandra, Walcha, Cessnock, South Grafton, Coonamble. He covers Hunter Valley bases like Scone and Newcastle but so far has had limited metro exposure (e.g., Randwick, Rosehill, Canterbury). sportsbet.com+2

Key Trainers

Success stems from broad support: Brett Cavanough (entry point); Brett Thompson (Gulgong, early volume rides); Paul Messara (trebles); Nathan Doyle (breakout stars like Private Harry); Gayna Williams; Kris Lees; Cameron Crockett; Matthew Dunn. facebook+3

Major Wins

Country cups: South Grafton (Texas Storm), Dubbo/Coonamble (Aesops Fable), Walcha (Valleys Sister), Cessnock (Unwavering Faith). winningpost.com+1

Elite breakthroughs: $1m Provincial-Midway Final (Matcha Latte, 2025); The Coast ($500k, Know Thyself, Gosford); $3m Magic Millions Sunlight (Private Harry, Sunshine Coast, 2025); Group 1 Kia Ora Galaxy (Private Harry, Rosehill, March 2025) - his first G1 after 10 years post-quit. [youtube] justracing+3

 

Matrix - day by day analysis of Tuesday and Wednesday racing

The tables show the results for the past eight weeks for the day on which racing occurred. So, today being Tuesday, this Matrix DOW (Day of Week) report covers the past eight Tuesday and Wednesday results. The day-after results are included so that they are available on race-eve, rather than only on race morning.

(The daily Matrix report aims to assist subscribers contain the number of bets to manageable proportions and improve the strike rate. The report is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am each day with an update at 12 noon.)

 

Wizard Freebie - Wizard Raceday report

The Wizard publishes on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof, and today the Wizard Freebie is the Wizard Raceday for two meetings. The full Raceday Report and the other Wizard reports for all meetings are now available to subscribers.

The Raceday report is an important component of the Wizard's uniquely successful race-morning MATRIX report whose Selectives consistently outperform traditional rating methodologies

Click here for a full explanation of the Wizard Raceday Report.

 

Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives results

We publish these full results daily so that subscribers can see the results of the Wizard's ratings options, and Report-content, and thereby formulate a selecting and betting strategy that suits them individually. The Wizard ratings should not be seen as "tips", rather as objective assessments that can be used to inform one's own judgement as to the relative chances of the runners in a race.

The full day-by-day results for Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners, the Raceday Qualifier, and the Matrix (MaxR) 100 pointer, the MaxR top-two, the What-IF top-two Filtered, together with the Matrix W1+MaxR100 Selective qualifier, and the Matrix W1+*EO+MaxR100 Selective qualifier. Also included are the overall results for last week and the last four weeks. The 2024-2025 column shows the WRat results for the full racing season.

This results summary is colour coded so that it is easier for readers to track the relative performance of the Top Rated (blue) and Top-Two Rated (green) ratings options on a daily, and longer term, basis. The best overall qualifier (yellow) is highlighted. Also, the single runner options are grouped separately, as are the two-horse and multi-horse options results, again to make comparisons easier.

The following table shows this week's results of alternative options with respect to possible Matrix Selectives combinations, as well as weekly summaries. These combinations are accessible via the Wizard MATRIX report which is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am each day.

(Key: The first of the two columns for each Selective combination shows number of qualifying races and the second column shows the strike rate. Headings: RWM is Raceday,Watch,Magic, RWM 2/3 means two or three qualifying, Rday is Raceday report qualifier, Magic is Magic report qualifier, R/M is Raceday and Magic, WR1 is Wrat 100, MR1 is MaxR 100.)

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by WRat, WMod, WHcp, and WExpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.

Header: WMHER = WRat (W), WMod (M), WHcp (H), WExpk (E), Raceday (R).

For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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Welcome to everyrace.com, the official website for the Wizard Formguide, Superform magazine and Online Handicapping.

The Wizard provides an in-depth, comprehensive coverage (ratings, statistics, reports, and detailed race form) for all Australian and New Zealand meetings covered by Tabcorp.

As well as the Wizard ratings, statistics, reports and detailed form, Wizard users can access the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and Wizard Systems.

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The Wizard is an online formguide available every day from this website. It provides form and ratings for all Australian and New Zealand meetings covered by Tabcorp.

The formguide is supplied as downloadable and printable PDF files. Buying the Wizard also gives you access to the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and the ability to generate individualised Wizard Systems.

The Betting Essentials Book on Horse Racing by Warren Block

Wizard

The Wizard is an online formguide available every day from this website. It provides form and ratings for all Australian and New Zealand meetings covered by Tabcorp.

The formguide is supplied as downloadable and printable PDF files. Buying the Wizard also gives you access to the Wizard rewards program, featuring the Wizard archive and the Wizard Systems.

You also have access to the Wizard Race Fields, incredibly detailed form history and statistical content live on our site (which is also optimised for mobiles)

   31/03/2026 : KILMORE(s)
NEWCASTLE(s)
TOWNSVILLE(s)
   01/04/2026 : BALAKLAVA(nr)
DOOMBEN(nr)
GEELONG(nr)
WARWICK FARM(nr)
Meetings being covered by the Wizard
(s) indicates that scratchings have been processed.
(nr) indicates early fields and form without any ratings.

Superform

For decades, Superform has been Australia's premier ratings, results, form analysis and race handicapping service.

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