The Betting Essentials Book on Horse Racing by Warren Block

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The "winningest" trainers report - Spotlight on William Kropp

BETTING ESSENTIALS - IM says: "The money management and staking chapter is vital for any success".

 

Warren Block's Daily Report - Wednesday, 13 May 2026

  • The "winningest" trainers report - Spotlight on William Kropp
  • Wizard Freebie - Wizard Watch report
  • Matrix - day by day analysis of Wednesday & Thursday racing
  • Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives Results

 

Australia's "winningest" trainers last week - SPOTLIGHT on William Kropp

Here is the list of trainers who trained at least a double at any of the Tab meetings last week, along with the jockeys for who rode the winners. This table is colour coded to highlight the outperformers and it is worth noting these stables and the combinations.

Here is the SNAPHOT PROFILE on William Kropp (via ChatGPT and other sources), which makes for some interesting reading.

William Kropp is a young Toowoomba-based trainer building a solid provincial record within the broader Kropp family racing operation in Queensland. racingqueensland+2

Background and family connections

William is the son of prominent Darling Downs trainer Matt Kropp, a long-established Clifford Park horseman with several decades of experience and more than 700 winners to his name. William grew up around his father's stable. As an adult he has followed Matt into the training ranks, setting up his own license and business while still operating closely alongside the family team. This background has given him a grounding in traditional horsemanship mixed with modern provincial campaigning across Queensland. callaghanpark+2

Stable base and setup

William trains a growing team from Toowoomba, working out of a barn at Clifford Park Racecourse with additional home stables just off the track. The Kropp operation as a whole is firmly based in Toowoomba, with regular campaigning across the Downs, southeast Queensland provincial circuit and country venues such as Dalby and Rockhampton.

Jockeys associated with the stable

William uses a range of riders typical of a provincial operation, using experienced provincial jockeys and claiming riders depending on the race setup. racingqueensland+2

The stable currently has a particularly good record with Les Tilley. Unfortunately, Les has been sidelined since a March race fall, suffering a fractured collarbone and wrist.

Results and notable wins

So far in this current 2025-2026 season William has trained 24 winners from 132 starters, a very solid 18.2% win rate. Six of those winners started favourite (strike rate 31.6%), with 11 being 4th favourite or longer.  This suggests he often scores with horses not sent out as shorterpriced favourites. His record also shows his careful placement of progressive types such as Bilpa Morea who put together a sequence at Ipswich and Dalby over 1700 and 2000 metres.

Training and placement approach

Comments from Racing Queensland suggest that William's approach is methodical, sticking to a "winning formula" once he identifies the right trip and pattern for a horse. Bilpa Morea's preparation is a good example: kept to middledistance and staying races, stepped up in distance when appropriate, and retaining the same jockey to maintain continuity and confidence. His small team size allows handson work, with reports noting that he rides some of his own trackwork, giving him a direct feel for how each horse is coping with their preparation. Campaigns typically involve targeting suitable provincial races where his horses can race onpace or in their preferred pattern, often at tracks where his family stable has a long history and detailed knowledge of conditions. racingqueensland+3

Impact Value

In the current 2025-2026 season his starters have delivered an Impact Value of 1.59 when compared to trainers overall, which puts him in the upper echelon of IV performers.

(If you would like to see a particular trainer profiled in SPOTLIGHT let me know via Everyrace Support contact.)

 

Wizard Freebie - Wizard Watch report

The aim of the Wizard Watch report is to highlight on race-morning which horses have been the most significant firmers overnight and earlier on race-morning. This Wizard freebie is an extract of this report featuring some of the venues being covered today. The full report is available with the other Wizard "market sensitive" reports at 10:30am each day.

Wizard monitors race morning market trends over the first 3 hours of race day betting to determine which horses are anticipated to run above earlier pre-post expectations and which horses have had their higher probabilities confirmed.

Given the significance of this early/informed market action, the odds about the Wizard Watch Morning Movers naturally skew towards the shorter odds, but this is compensated by the strike rate. Double figure odds about successful Market Movers are rare, but each-way odds winners are backable. 

Click here for an explanation of Wizard Watch.

 

Matrix - day by day analysis of Wednesday & Thursday racing

The tables show the results for the past eight weeks for the day on which racing occurred. So, today being Wednesday, this Matrix DOW (Day of Week) report covers the past eight Wednesday and Thursday results. The day-after results are included so that they are available on race-eve, rather than only on race morning.

(The daily Matrix report aims to assist subscribers contain the number of bets to manageable proportions and improve the strike rate. The report is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am each day with an update at 12 noon.)

 

Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives results

We publish these full results daily so that subscribers can see the results of the Wizard's ratings options, and Report-content, and thereby formulate a selecting and betting strategy that suits them individually. The Wizard ratings should not be seen as "tips", rather as objective assessments that can be used to inform one's own judgement as to the relative chances of the runners in a race.

The full day-by-day results for Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners, the Raceday Qualifier, and the Matrix (MaxR) 100 pointer, the MaxR top-two, the What-IF top-two Filtered, together with the Matrix W1+MaxR100 Selective qualifier, and the Matrix W1+*EO+MaxR100 Selective qualifier. Also included are the overall results for last week and the last four weeks. The 2024-2025 column shows the WRat results for the full racing season.

This results summary is colour coded so that it is easier for readers to track the relative performance of the Top Rated (blue) and Top-Two Rated (green) ratings options on a daily, and longer term, basis. The best overall qualifier (yellow) is highlighted. Also, the single runner options are grouped separately, as are the two-horse and multi-horse options results, again to make comparisons easier.

The following table shows this week's results of alternative options with respect to possible Matrix Selectives combinations, as well as weekly summaries. These combinations are accessible via the Wizard MATRIX report which is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am each day.

(Key: The first of the two columns for each Selective combination shows number of qualifying races and the second column shows the strike rate. Headings: RWM is Raceday,Watch,Magic,  RWM 2/3 means two or three qualifying, Rday is Raceday report qualifier , Magic is Magic report qualifier, R/M is Raceday and Magic, WR1 is Wrat 100, MR1 is MaxR 100, Watch is a Watch report qualifier.)

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by WRat, WMod, WHcp, and WExpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.

Header: WMHER = WRat (W), WMod (M), WHcp (H), WExpk (E), Raceday (R).

For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

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The Betting Essentials Book on Horse Racing by Warren Block

Wizard

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   13/05/2026 : BENDIGO(s)
GAWLER(s)
IPSWICH(s)
MATAMATA(s)
PINJARRA(s)
RANDWICK INS(s)
   14/05/2026 : HAWKESBURY
MACKAY
MURWILLUMBAH
RICCARTON SYN
WERRIBEE
YORK
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