Wizard Daily Report and Research Monday, 8 July 2024.
- Wizard Ratings Results for week ending July 7
- Jockey & Trainer combinations (Jean Van Overmeire)
- Trainer & Jockey combinations (Brett Cavanough)
Wizard Ratings Report week ending Sunday, July 7
For last week the daily and weekly results were:
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
Wrat top rated | 19.0% | 26.0% | 17.5% | 24.0% | 28.6% | 20.7% | 30.6% | 23.4% |
Wrat top-two rated | 31.5% | 52.0% | 25.0% | 36.0% | 48.6% | 42.7% | 49.0% | 41.0% |
A few of the more notable double-figure TOP RATED winners last week for each of the Wizard and Wizard Plus ratings assessments; includes top-rated (Wrat-1) and rated second top (Wrat-2):
Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
SEYMOUR | 2/07/2024 | 9 | 7 | American Liaison | 29.80 | WRat-2 & WHcp |
MUDGEE | 7/07/2024 | 3 | 4 | Rhodesian Diamond | 20.30 | WRat-1 & WMod |
GRAFTON | 7/07/2024 | 2 | 13 | South Boambee | 20.10 | WRat-2 |
TOWNSVILLE | 7/07/2024 | 8 | 10 | Lady Rain | 13.10 | WRat-2 |
TOWNSVILLE | 2/07/2024 | 2 | 5 | Hartshorn | 11.70 | WRat-2 & WHcp & WExPk |
| | | | | | |
Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
TOWNSVILLE | 2/07/2024 | 4 | 3 | Lord Of Penno | 20.60 | WMod |
MUDGEE | 7/07/2024 | 3 | 4 | Rhodesian Diamond | 20.30 | WMod & WRat-1 |
| | | | | | |
Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
SEYMOUR | 2/07/2024 | 9 | 7 | American Liaison | 29.80 | WHcp & WRat-2 |
TOWNSVILLE | 2/07/2024 | 2 | 5 | Hartshorn | 11.70 | WHcp & WRat-2 & WExPk |
| | | | | | |
Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
COROWA | 1/07/2024 | 2 | 7 | More Importance | 91.40 | WExpk |
MACKAY | 4/07/2024 | 8 | 9 | Fanaar | 49.10 | WExpk |
GAWLER | 6/07/2024 | 7 | 10 | Badiss | 84.90 | WExpk |
WARWICK | 1/07/2024 | 6 | 10 | Duchess Of Milan | 28.20 | WExpk |
GUNNEDAH | 1/07/2024 | 6 | 12 | Obelius | 25.00 | WExpk |
WANGARATTA | 6/07/2024 | 9 | 15 | Turnaquid | 23.60 | WExpk |
KALGOORLIE | 7/07/2024 | 5 | 10 | Novatorio | 20.40 | WExpk |
CANTERBURY | 3/07/2024 | 6 | 10 | Pokerjack | 13.50 | WExpk |
TOWNSVILLE | 2/07/2024 | 2 | 5 | Hartshorn | 11.70 | WExpk & WRat-2 & WHcp |
The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk. The Wrat analysis applies to both Wizard and Wizard Plus. The Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk analysis applies to the ratings included in the Wizard Plus 'Plus Panel'. (Note: The Wrat winners include the top rated and second top-rated winners.)
Sun 07.07.24 | | Race 1 | Race 2 | Race 3 | Race 4 | Race 5 | Race 6 | Race 7 | Race 8 | Race 9 | Race 10 | Top rated | Top 2 rated |
| SOT | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e |
GRAFTON | h8 | 1 1 1 1 | 2 3 3 2 | - - - - | - 2 - - | - - - 3. | 2 2 2 1 | 3 - - - | - 3 - - | - - 3. - | | 1 1 1 2 | 3 3 2 3 |
HOBART | s5 | 1 1 1 2 | 1 1 1 1 | 3 1 1 3 | - - - - | - - - - | 1 2 - - | - - - - | 3 2 2. - | - - - 3 | | 3 3 3 1 | 3 5 4. 2 |
KALGOORLIE | g4 | - 3 - - | - 3 3. - | 1 1 1 - | 1 1 1. - | - - - 1. | - - - - | 3 3 - - | | | | 2 2 2. 1. | 2 2 2. 1. |
MUDGEE | g4s5 | 1 1 1 1 | 1 1 1 - | 1 1 2 3 | - - - - | 1 2 1. - | 2 1 - - | 1 2 3 - | | | | 5 4 3. 1 | 6 6 4. 1 |
TOWNSVILLE | s5 | 2 2 2 2 | 3 2. - - | - - 3 2 | 2 2 - - | 3 - 3. 2 | - 3. 3. - | 1 1 - - | 2 2 2. - | - - - - | | 1 1 0 0 | 4 5. 2. 3 |
WARRNAMBOOL | s6 | 1 - 1 1 | 2 1 2 2 | 1 1 - 1 | 2 2 - 2 | 3 2 1 - | 2 2 - - | - - - 3. | 1 3. - - | | | 3 2 2 2 | 6 5 3 4 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | w 15 49 | w 24 49 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 30.6% | 49.0% |
Header: w m h e = Wrat (w), Wmod (m), Whcp (h), Wexpk (e)
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results
Jockey & Trainer combinations (Jean Van Overmeire)
South African born Jean Van Overmeire's journey to Australia is most interesting. After his family migrated to the UK he became apprenticed to Roger Varian who took over the Michael Jarvis stable after Michael died in 2011. One winner in 14 rides gave him pause for thought and he decided to pursue a future career as a foreman or assistant trainer. He then secured a stable job riding work for Mike de Kock in Dubai. There he met Jack Bruce, who was to become Warwick Farm trainer Bjorn Bakers racing manager. Jack encouraged him to come to Australia. Jean landed in Sydney in 2016 but visa issues meant he couldnt ride in races for almost a year.
His first Australian winner came at the Sapphire Coast on August 7 in 2016. His maiden city win came in June 2017 on the Bjorn Baker-trained Samadoubt. In the following years he served his apprenticeship with leading trainers Bjorn Baker and Anthony Cummings. No longer an apprentice, Jean is based in Sydney and is a regular winner on the surrounding provincial and country tracks, as well as in the city itself.
Though yet to taste Group 1 success, Jean rode a winner at Group 2 level when Glistening won the Reisling Stakes at Randwick in March 2021. There is no doubting his ability, and this is confirmed by the fact that he is currently in 7th place in the 2023-2024 NSW Jockey Premiership on 94 wins, with a strike rate of 14%.
This table examines the jockey-trainer combinations under three conditions:
- When the horse is the Wrat 100 pointer and started at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse runs as the race favourite at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse starts at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
From 01/08/2022 To 07/07/2024 | | 100 | | | | | fav | | | | | 2.0-5.9 | | |
Jean Van Overmeire with | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp |
Brad Widdup | 28.6% | 6 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 31.3% | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20.5% | 8 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
Danielle Seib | 50.0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 42.9% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 35.3% | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
G Ryan & S Alexiou | 66.7% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 75.0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42.9% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
James Cummings | 45.5% | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 50.0% | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 42.3% | 11 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
Matthew Smith | 16.7% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 60.0% | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 34.8% | 8 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
A & E Cummings | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Allan Kehoe | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Andrew Macdonald | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Anthony Mountney | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Blake Ryan | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brad Widdup | 28.6% | 6 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 31.3% | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20.5% | 8 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
Bryce Heys | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Ciaron Maher | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Cody Morgan | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Danielle Seib | 50.0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 42.9% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 35.3% | 6 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
David J Smith | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
David Payne | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
David Pfieffer | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
G Portelli | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
G R Nickson | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
G Ryan & S Alexiou | 66.7% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 75.0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42.9% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
G Waterhouse & A Bott | 33.3% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27.3% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
Geoffrey Crothers | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
J G Sargent | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25.0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
James Cummings | 45.5% | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 50.0% | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 42.3% | 11 | 1 | 7 | 7 |
Jamie Stewart | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40.0% | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Joseph Ible | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Joseph Pride | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
K A Lees | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Luke Musson | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
M F Van Gestel | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Matthew Smith | 16.7% | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 60.0% | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 34.8% | 8 | 2 | 8 | 5 |
Matthew Stephens | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Michael Travers | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Michelle Ritchie | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Ms G Williams | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Ms K Buchanan | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ms K Waugh | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
P & P Snowden | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 50.0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Paul Murray | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9.1% | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
R Cole | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
R J Agnew | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
R J Quinton | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 75.0% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 50.0% | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Richard & Will Freedman | - | - | - | - | - | 33.3% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
T & P Vigouroux | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
The statistics cover the jockey's rides throughout Australia, with combinations that have 5 wins or more highlighted separately as well as being included in the body of the table. Included in the table are only those stables for which the jockey has registered at least one win in the $2.00 - $5.90 odds range during the period covered which is from 1 August 2022, so last season and the current season.
Trainer & Jockey combinations (Brett Cavanough)
Brett Cavanough is based primarily in Scone. He began his training career in 1999, starting in Tocumwal. A year later he moved his operations to Albury. It was here that he began to make a name for himself in the Southern Districts, where he has won thirteen SDRA (Southern Districts Racing Association) titles. He has also won the NSW Country Trainers' Premiership five times.
Early influencers would have been his grandfather Frank for whom he rode trackwork, and Queensland trainers Jim McCormack and Barry Baldwin. He also benefited greatly by working for, and learning from, the legendary T.J. Smith and Neville Begg. And the family connection has continued as his son Jack oversees pre-training and breaking in at Cavanough Racing.
In January of this year it was reported that Brett had just under 100 horses in work, including 70 at his Scone base and anywhere from 20 to 30 at his Ballina satellite stable.
Among Brett's notable wins have been Helideck in the 2008 Prime Ministers Cup (Group 2) at the Gold Coast, and Niblick in his hometown Commercial Club Albury Cup (Listed).
This table examines the trainer-jockey combinations under three conditions:
- When the horse is the Wrat 100 pointer and started at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse runs as the race favourite at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse starts at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
From 01/08/2022 To 07/07/2024 | | 100 | | | | | fav | | | | | 2.0-5.9 | | |
Brett (B F) Cavanough with | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp |
Ashley Morgan | 14.3% | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15.4% | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21.4% | 6 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
Braith Nock | 18.5% | 5 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33.3% | 9 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 19.0% | 15 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
Cobi Vitler | 14.3% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 50.0% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19.2% | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Aaron Bullock | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23.1% | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
Andrew Gibbons | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Anthony Allen | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ashley Morgan | 14.3% | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15.4% | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21.4% | 6 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
Ben E Thompson | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Ben Looker | 20.0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11.1% | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
Braith Nock | 18.5% | 5 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33.3% | 9 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 19.0% | 15 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
Brooke Stower | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
Cobi Vitler | 14.3% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 50.0% | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19.2% | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Grant Buckley | 20.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7.1% | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
Jai Williams | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Jake Bayliss | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
James Orman | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jason Collett | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20.0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Jasper Franklin | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50.0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Jess Taylor | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Jon Grisedale | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20.0% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27.3% | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Kyle Wilson-Taylor | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Luke Dittman | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Luke Rolls | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Matthew McGuren | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13.6% | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Mikayla Weir | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11.1% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
Mitchell Bell | 23.1% | 3 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23.1% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16.0% | 4 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
The statistics cover the stable's runners throughout Australia, with combinations that have 5 wins or more highlighted separately as well as being included in the body of the table. Included in the table are only those jockeys who have ridden at least one winner for the stable in the $2.00 - $5.90 odds range during the period covered which is from 1 August 2022, so last season and the current season.
Warren - Wiz-Ed