Wizard Daily Report and Research - Friday, 26 July 2024.
- Jockey & Trainer combinations and profile (Mitchell Bell)
- Wizard Ratings Results for Thursday, July 25
Jockey & Trainer combinations and profile (Mitchell Bell)
Mitchell Bell is a successful NSW jockey, specialising on the provincial and country circuits. His decision to concentrate on the non-metro circuit was cemented when recruited by Patinack Farm to be its leading provincial rider.
Mitchell has a family connection with racing through his grandfather William (Billy) Bell who was also a jockey. Mitchell began his apprenticeship with Mark Mason at Tamworth in 2001 and rode his first black-type winner when Mizone won the Listed Underwood Cup at Rosehill in 2008.
Another career highlight came when Artlee won the Country Championships Final at Randwick in 2015. He is now very close to riding 1,000 winners. Currently Mitchell ranks 6th in the NSW Provincial Premiership on 40 wins, with a strike rate of 15.3%.
There have been significant physical setbacks during Mitchell's career. He has had two hip replacements, the second due to suffering from osteoarthritis. Like most jockeys, other injuries have also forced him to take breaks from riding. Still riding well, Mitchell continues to be a force to be reckoned with when on the right horse.
The following table examines jockey-trainer combinations under three conditions:
- When the horse is the Wrat 100 pointer and started at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse runs as the race favourite at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse starts at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
| From 01/08/2022 To 25/07/2024 | | 100 | | | | | fav | | | | | 2.0-5.9 | | |
| Mitchell Bell with | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp |
| B F Cavanough | 21.4% | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23.1% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 | 10 | 1 | 16 |
| Bjorn Baker | 15.4% | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 25.0% | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 18.2% | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| Matthew Smith | 22.2% | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 28.6% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24.1% | 7 | 6 | 1 | 15 |
| Nathan Doyle | 50.0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 37.5% | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| P & P Snowden | 44.4% | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 58.8% | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 35.7% | 15 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| S I Singleton | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 66.7% | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 40.0% | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
| Ashlee Grives | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| B F Cavanough | 21.4% | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 23.1% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 | 10 | 1 | 16 |
| Benjamin Smith | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Bjorn Baker | 15.4% | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 25.0% | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 18.2% | 6 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| Blake Ryan | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Brad Widdup | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| C J Waller | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Ciaron Maher | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33.3% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| D Lane | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| D R Mirfin | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Jake Hull | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16.7% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| Joseph Burges | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joseph Ible | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kurt Goldman | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lou Mary | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15.8% | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
| Luke Pepper | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20.0% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Lyle Chandler | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20.0% | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| M & W & J Hawkes | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M K Mason | - | - | - | - | - | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Matthew Smith | 22.2% | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 28.6% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24.1% | 7 | 6 | 1 | 15 |
| Michael Freedman | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.0% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Michelle Fleming | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Doyle | 50.0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 37.5% | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| P & P Snowden | 44.4% | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 58.8% | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 35.7% | 15 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| P M Perry | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pat Murphy | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Peter Robl | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| R J Quinton | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10.0% | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| R P Northam | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard & Will Freedman | 50.0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Richard Litt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| S C Jones | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S I Singleton | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 66.7% | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 40.0% | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Sam Kavanagh | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Scott Aspery | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Stephen O'Halloran | 66.7% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 28.6% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Toby Pracey | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Todd Smart | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66.7% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
The statistics cover the jockey's rides throughout Australia, with combinations that have 5 wins or more highlighted separately as well as being included in the body of the table. Included in the table are only those stables for which the jockey has registered at least one win in the $2.00 - $5.90 odds range during the period covered which is from 1 August 2022, so last season and the current season.
Wizard Ratings Results for Thursday, July 25
The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk. The Wrat analysis applies to both Wizard and Wizard Plus. The Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk analysis applies to the ratings included in the Wizard Plus 'Plus Panel'.
| Thu 25.07.24 | | Race 1 | Race 2 | Race 3 | Race 4 | Race 5 | Race 6 | Race 7 | Race 8 | Race 9 | Race 10 | Top rated | Top 2 rated |
| | SOT | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e |
| BENDIGO | s6h8 | 3 3 3 - | - - - - | - 3 - - | - - - - | 1 - 1 1 | 2 2 1 2 | 3 3 - 3. | - - 2. - | | | 1 0 2 1 | 2 1 3. 2 |
| BUNBURY | s7 | - 3. 3 - | 2 2 1. - | 3 - 1. - | - 3 3 3 | - - - - | 1 1 1 1 | - - - - | 1 2. 2 - | | | 2 1 3. 1 | 3 3. 4. 1 |
| GATTON | s6 | - - - - | 1 - - 3. | - - - - | - - - - | 1 1 2 3 | - 2 - - | - 2 3 1. | 3 1 - - | | | 2 2 0 1. | 2 4 1 1. |
| WYONG | s5g4 | - - - - | 1 1 3 3 | - 2 - 2. | 2 3 - - | 3 3 - - | 1 2 - - | - 2 - 3. | 1 1 2 - | | | 3 2 0 0 | 4 5 1 1. |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | w 8 32 | w 11 32 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | 25.0% | 34.4% |
Header: w m h e = Wrat (w), Wmod (m), Whcp (h), Wexpk (e)
The Wizard Ratings Results report includes the results of the top-two rated Wrat runners. This information should provide a better guide to those subscribers who are interested in backing two runners in a race (where odds are acceptable) or anchor two runners for multiples etc. (Note: Over the long term the top-two Wrat runners have won around 43% to 46%, and the top rated runner 25% to 27%, of races on a seasonal basis)
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results
Warren - Wiz-Ed