Wizard Daily Report and Research - Saturday, 9 December 2023.
- Books worth reading - U.S.A.
Books worth reading - U.S.A.
There have been many books written about betting on horse racing in the USA, some very good in their own right, but most are not really relevant to betting in Australia, even if you happen to be a times enthusiast.
Racing in the USA is really quite different to racing in Australia from formguide details, to class and claiming, to the way races are run, and so on.
However, there are some books that provide useful information and insights that are directly relevant to our experience. From a long list of possibles the following (*) are the ones I would read a second or third time.
Author: William Quirin
*Winning at the Races (1979)
*Thoroughbred Handicapping State of the Art (1984)
Winning at the Races
1 Early speed
2 Pacesetters
3 Track conditions
4 Post position
5 The distance factor
6 Finish last start
7 Recent action
8 Freshened horses
9 Positive signs
10 Failures
11 Useful odds and ends
12 Consistency
13 Earnings
14 Class
15 Weight
16 Par times
17 Variants
18 Speed figures
19 Speed handicapping
20 The weaker sex
21 2yo racing
22 Grass racing
23 Trainers and jockeys
24 Spot plays
Thoroughbred Handicapping
1 Key questions
2 The Race conditions
3 Running lines
4 Horses connections
Jockey, trainer, owner
5 Bloodlines
6 The earnings box
7 Recency fitness
- Cycles, first-up, changes
8 Comparative handicapping
9 Speed and pace figures
10 Figure handicapping
11 Trip handicapping
12 Results charts
13 Workouts
14 Money management
15 After the race
Author: Mark Cramer
*Thoroughbred Cycles (1990)
1 Form guide info; numbers
2 Horses back to work (first-up)
3 Horses mediocre
4 Horses steady, low profile
5 Horses early, late comers
6 Horses radicals, switches
7 Horses small-town hero
8 Trainers hot and cold
9 Trainers his/her cycles
10 Trainers - horse centred
11 Handicappers
12 Workshops
13 Thoroughbred futures
AA Primary research
AC Major impact cycles
Author: Scatoni & Fornatale
*Six Secrets of Successful Bettors (2005)
1 A hard way to make an easy living
2 The information edge
3 The never-ending quest for value
4 If I only knew how to bet
5 Woulda, coulda, shoulda
6 Its one long game
7 The road ahead
Author: James Quinn
*The Best of Thoroughbred Handicapping (2003)
1 Speed points
2 Optimal betting
3 Keys to older maidens
4 Acceptable form
5 Drop down in claiming
6 Key race method charts
7 Maximum confusion
8 Race written for him
9 Beyer speed
10 Pars
11 Andrew Beyer
12 Track biases
13 Comprehensive handicap.
14 Unit wagers at the odds
15 Paddock inspection
16 Bred for grass
17 Nonclaiming 3yos
18 Ability times
19 Horse & jockey switches
20 Trend analysis
21 Pace analysis, ratings
22 Race shapes
23 Form defects, advantages
24 Handicappers new edge
25 Public & informed minority
26 Dowst
27 Dr Z system
28 Dosage index
29 International handicap.
30 Crucible of expectations
31 Exotic wagering
32 Fixed percentage min.
33 Money secrets and charts
34 Ready-made betting lines
35 The Pick 6
36 Day at the races 37x
38 Beyer on speed
39 Brohamer on pace
40 Quinn figure handicapping
41 Davidowitz redux
42 Litfin, pattern recognition
43 Real speed
44 Class, speed, pace
45 The xtras
46 Ideas that no longer apply
47 Online information
48 Ainslie Complete guide
Author: Steven Davidowitz
*Betting Thoroughbreds (1977,1983)
1 Watching a race properly
2 A B.A. in handicapping
3 Results charts
4 The racing surface
5 Little known trainer
6 The role of the trainer
7 The trainers window
8 Whats he doing in this race
9 The key race method
10 An edge in class
11 E = MC squared
12 Speed figures
13 Theory vs experience
14 The drug factor
15 To bet, or not bet
16 Place and show
17 More on betting
18 The winning horseplayer
Author: Hausch, Lo, Ziemba
*Efficiency of Racetrack Betting Markets (2008, 2016)
1 Psychological studies
2 Utility preferences of bettors
3 Economic and mathematical insights
4 Efficiency of win markets
5 Prices vs handicapping
6 Exotic wagering markets
7 Research
(Note: Each part contains many academic papers.)
Author: DRF Library
*Bet with the Best
1 Beyer
2 Brohamer
3 Crist
4 Davidowitz
5 Free
6 Litfin
7 Quinn
8 Shuback
9 Turf angles
10 Watchmaker
Author: William Ziemba
*Exotic Betting at the Racetrack (2019)
1 Accuracy of the win odds
2 Arbitrage
3 Some good bets
4 Money management
5 Winning systems
6 Place and show pools
7 Place and show betting
8 Beating the exacta
9 Beating the quinella
10 Beating the double
11 Beating the trifecta and superfecta
12 The Pick 3 and Pick 4
13 The Pick 5
14 The Pick 6
15 Primer on dosage
Warren - Wiz-Ed
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Wiz-Ed@everyrace.com