Betting Markets (part 10)

Wizard Daily Report and Research  - Friday, 29 December 2023.

Betting Markets (part 10)

Betting Markets - Firmed, Steady, Eased - Meetings summary.

Today, summing up the analysis of betting market moves of the meetings covered on Saturday, December 16.

First, a reposting of the summary table posted a few days back of the aggregated data from the five days covered, showing the percentages appropriate to each situation.

 

Table - Aggregated market movements at 15m and 5m before race start - firming, steady, easing.

at 15m from 30m             
 StartersFirmedFirmedSteadyEasedSteadyFirmedSteadyEasedEasedFirmedSteadyEased
  at 15mat spat spat spat 15mat spat spat spat 15mat spat spat sp
  fr 30mfr 15mfr 15mfr 15mfr 30mfr 15mfr 15mfr 15mfr 30mfr 15mfr 15mfr 15m
16.12.23114614%38%13%49%65%27%14%59%21%29%15%56%
17.12.2365813%36%9%55%71%27%12%61%15%22%12%66%
18.12.2312811%43%22%36%64%24%10%66%25%31%9%59%
19.12.2315317%31%15%54%58%30%24%47%25%36%13%51%
20.12.2345218%42%14%44%58%27%16%57%25%21%14%65%
              
Total253715%38%13%49%65%27%14%59%20%27%14%59%
              
              
at 5m from 15m             
 StartersFirmedFirmedSteadyEasedSteadyFirmedSteadyEasedEasedFirmedSteadyEased
  at 5mat spat spat spat 5mat spat spat spat 5mat spat spat sp
  fr 15mfr 5mfr 5mfr 5mfr 15mfr 5mfr 5mfr 5mfr 15mfr 5mfr 5mfr 5m
16.12.23114623%39%17%44%33%28%21%51%43%24%17%59%
17.12.2365820%44%20%36%37%27%18%55%43%19%13%68%
18.12.2312822%43%7%50%33%26%19%55%45%17%10%72%
19.12.2315324%39%17%44%35%34%38%28%42%25%9%66%
20.12.2345224%44%16%40%29%24%31%45%47%20%22%58%
Total253722%41%17%42%34%27%23%50%44%22%16%62%
              
Total208522%41%17%42%35%28%21%51%43%22%15%63%

 

Now, taking a closer look at the SP favourite, categorised by its final status - firmer, steady, easer - across the five days, December 16 to December 20.

Here it is important to note that this is very unlikely to be a representative sample of betting movements over the last 30 minutes of wagering.

Table - SP favourite - firmer, steady, easer - December 16 to December 20

 15m5mSPstarterswin2nd3rdunp
overallfsefsefirm7327  37%15  21%4  5%27  37%
overallfsefsesteady147  50%4  29%1  7%2  14%
overallfsefseease4013  33%8  20%6  15%13  33%

fse = any of firm, steady, ease

Despite the short-term nature of this recent study, the data itself has proved interesting, and has encouraged me to research a longer period of betting fluctuations. Accordingly, I will commence a study of the full 2022-2023 racing season in the next article in this series.

(to be continued)

 

Warren - Wiz-Ed

If you have any comment or suggestions about the Wizard Daily articles please feel free to drop me a line at:

Wiz-Ed@everyrace.com

 



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