Wizard Daily Report and Research Monday, 22 July 2024.
- Wizard Ratings Results for week ending July 21
- Jockey & Trainer combinations and profile (Holly Watson)
Wizard Ratings Report week ending Sunday, July 21
For last week the daily and weekly results were:
| Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
Wrat top rated | 22.2% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 28.9% | 18.8% | 23.8% | 24.5% | 23.2% |
Wrat top-two rated | 51.9% | 25.0% | 35.8% | 40.0% | 25.0% | 36.6% | 39.6% | 37.0% |
A few of the more notable double-figure winners last week that were top rated on Wmod, Whcp, Wexpk and/or top-rated (Wrat-1) or rated second top (Wrat-2):
Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
INVERELL | 20/07/2024 | 3 | 6 | Powerstone | 13.40 | WRat-1 |
NEWCASTLE | 16/07/2024 | 4 | 3 | Mountain Top | 12.40 | WRat-1 & WMod |
GRAFTON | 21/07/2024 | 8 | 7 | Amalfi Amore | 12.40 | WRat-2 & WHcp |
| | | | | | |
Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
NEWCASTLE | 16/07/2024 | 4 | 3 | Mountain Top | 12.40 | WMod & WRat-1 |
| | | | | | |
Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
BALLARAT SYN | 16/07/2024 | 4 | 3 | Wangandary | 22.00 | WHcp & WExPk |
BALLARAT SYN | 16/07/2024 | 1 | 10 | Remarkabelle | 14.00 | WHcp |
GRAFTON | 21/07/2024 | 8 | 7 | Amalfi Amore | 12.40 | WHcp & WRat-2 |
| | | | | | |
Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
BALLARAT SYN | 16/07/2024 | 4 | 3 | Wangandary | 22.00 | WExpk & WHcp |
KEMBLA GRANGE | 18/07/2024 | 4 | 9 | Star Legacy | 20.60 | WExpk |
HOBART | 21/07/2024 | 3 | 5 | Montezulu | 14.50 | WExpk |
HOBART | 21/07/2024 | 6 | 1 | Fake Magic | 13.60 | WExpk |
The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk. The Wrat analysis applies to both Wizard and Wizard Plus. The Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk analysis applies to the ratings included in the Wizard Plus 'Plus Panel'. (Note: The Wrat winners include the top rated and second top-rated winners.)
Sun 21.07.24 | | Race 1 | Race 2 | Race 3 | Race 4 | Race 5 | Race 6 | Race 7 | Race 8 | Race 9 | Race 10 | Top rated | Top 2 rated |
| SOT | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e | w m h e |
CARNARVON | g | 1 1 1 1 | 2 - 1 2 | - - - - | 1 2 1 - | - - 3 3 | 2 1 - - | | | | | 2 2 3 1 | 4 3 3 2 |
GRAFTON | g4g3 | 3 - - 2 | 2 1 - 2. | 1 1 2 3 | 3 - 1 - | - - - - | - - - - | - - - - | 2 - 1 3. | | | 1 2 2 0 | 3 2 3 2. |
HAWKESBURY | g4 | 2 2 2 3. | - - 3 3 | 1 1 2 1 | - - - - | 3 2 2. 1 | 1 1. 2 - | - 2 3. 1 | - 2 - 3. | | | 2 2. 0 3 | 3 6. 4. 3 |
HOBART | s5s6 | - - - - | - - - 2. | - 3 - 1. | 3 2. - - | 1 2 3. - | - - 2. 1 | 3 3 1 1 | - - 3. - | | | 1 0 1 3. | 1 2. 2. 4. |
PAKENHAM | h9 | 3 - 1 3 | 1 2 1 1 | 2 1 1 3 | 3 - - - | 2 2 1 2 | 1 1 2 1 | | | | | 2 2 4 2 | 4 4 5 3 |
PORT AUGUSTA | g | 1 1 1 1 | 2 3 3 3. | - - - - | - - 2. - | - - - - | - - - 3 | - - - 1 | 1 1 2. - | - - - - | | 2 2 1 2 | 3 2 3. 2 |
SUNSHINE COAST | s5 | 3 2 2 2 | - 2. 3. - | - - - 2 | 1 3 1. - | 1 3 3 1 | 1 1 - 3. | - - 3. - | - 2. - - | | | 3 1 1. 1 | 3 4. 2. 3 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | w 13 53 | w 21 53 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 24.5% | 39.6% |
Header: w m h e = Wrat (w), Wmod (m), Whcp (h), Wexpk (e)
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results
Jockey & Trainer combinations and profile (Holly Watson)
Holly Watson began her career as an apprentice jockey in October 2020. She comes from a non-racing background but grew up and around horses, starting with pony club involvement. The 24-year-old, who was apprenticed to Simon Miller, rode 69 winners for the 2022-2023 season, including the Listed Sheila Gwynne Classic on Stellar Vista.
Another notable achievement was Holly's winning the inaugural Damien Oliver Award at the conclusion of the 2020-2023 season, which not only recognized her riding achievements but also her deep commitment to the broader aspects of thoroughbred racing and animal welfare generally. Previously she had won the Leading Apprentice title. Holly's philosophy: You couldnt be in racing if you didnt love animals because its your life and you have to be their carer. Its the top priority.
Holly is currently in the top-20 of the 2023-2024 W.A. Jockey Premiership on 44 wins, with a strike rate of 7.8%.
(Note: Holly is currently side-lined with a knee injury suffered in a recent barrier incident.)
The following table examines the jockey-trainer combinations under three conditions:
- When the horse is the Wrat 100 pointer and started at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse runs as the race favourite at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
- When the horse starts at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
From 01/08/2022 To 21/07/2024 | | 100 | | | | | fav | | | | | 2.0-5.9 | | |
Holly Watson with | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp | win% | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | unp |
Mitchell Pateman | 16.7% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9.5% | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21.9% | 16 | 14 | 10 | 33 |
Simon Miller | 20.0% | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 40.0% | 10 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21.2% | 14 | 12 | 9 | 31 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
A W Maley | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
B A Miller | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
C G Willis | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 50.0% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
D & B Pearce | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
D M Luciani | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8.7% | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 |
D T McAuliffe | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23.1% | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
G M Ayres | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33.3% | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
L Smith | 33.3% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Luke Fernie | 25.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7.1% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
Mack Hall | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Meryl Hayley | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Misty Bazeley | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mitchell Pateman | 16.7% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9.5% | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21.9% | 16 | 14 | 10 | 33 |
P C Western | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | 50.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
P E Roberts | - | - | - | - | - | 100.0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40.0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
P J Fernie | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25.0% | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Raymond Vincent | 50.0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 66.7% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 40.0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Simon Miller | 20.0% | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 40.0% | 10 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21.2% | 14 | 12 | 9 | 31 |
Steven Burton | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33.3% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
T M Andrews | 0.0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
The statistics cover the jockey's rides throughout Australia, with combinations that have 5 wins or more highlighted separately as well as being included in the body of the table. Included in the table are only those stables for which the jockey has registered at least one win in the $2.00 - $5.90 odds range during the period covered which is from 1 August 2022, so last season and the current season.
Warren - Wiz-Ed