Jockey & Trainer combinations and profile (Holly Watson) - Wizard Ratings Results

Wizard Daily Report and Research Monday, 22 July 2024.

  • Wizard Ratings Results for week ending July 21
  • Jockey & Trainer combinations and profile (Holly Watson)

Wizard Ratings Report week ending Sunday, July 21

For last week the daily and weekly results were:

 MonTueWedThuFriSatSunWeek
Wrat top rated22.2%18.8%20.8%28.9%18.8%23.8%24.5%23.2%
Wrat top-two rated51.9%25.0%35.8%40.0%25.0%36.6%39.6%37.0%

 

A few of the more notable double-figure winners last week that were top rated on Wmod, Whcp, Wexpk and/or top-rated (Wrat-1) or rated second top (Wrat-2):

CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating
INVERELL20/07/202436Powerstone13.40WRat-1
NEWCASTLE16/07/202443Mountain Top12.40WRat-1 & WMod
GRAFTON21/07/202487Amalfi Amore12.40WRat-2 & WHcp
       
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating
NEWCASTLE16/07/202443Mountain Top12.40WMod & WRat-1
       
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating
BALLARAT SYN16/07/202443Wangandary22.00WHcp & WExPk
BALLARAT SYN16/07/2024110Remarkabelle14.00WHcp
GRAFTON21/07/202487Amalfi Amore12.40WHcp & WRat-2
       
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating
BALLARAT SYN16/07/202443Wangandary22.00WExpk & WHcp
KEMBLA GRANGE18/07/202449Star Legacy20.60WExpk
HOBART21/07/202435Montezulu14.50WExpk
HOBART21/07/202461Fake Magic13.60WExpk

 

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk. The Wrat analysis applies to both Wizard and Wizard Plus. The Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk analysis applies to the ratings included in the Wizard Plus 'Plus Panel'. (Note: The Wrat winners include the top rated and second top-rated winners.)

 

Sun 21.07.24 Race 1Race 2Race 3Race 4Race 5Race 6Race 7Race 8Race 9Race 10Top ratedTop 2 rated
 SOTw m h ew m h ew m h ew m h ew m h ew m h ew m h ew m h ew m h ew m h ew m h ew m h e
CARNARVONg1 1 1 12 - 1 2- - - -1 2 1 -- - 3 32 1 - -    2  2  3  14  3  3  2
GRAFTONg4g33 - - 22 1 - 2.1 1 2 33 - 1 -- - - -- - - -- - - -2 - 1 3.  1  2  2  03  2  3  2.
HAWKESBURYg42 2 2 3.- - 3 31 1 2 1- - - -3 2 2. 11 1. 2 -- 2 3. 1- 2 - 3.  2  2.  0  33  6.  4.  3
HOBARTs5s6- - - -- - - 2.- 3 - 1.3 2. - -1 2 3. -- - 2. 13 3 1 1- - 3. -  1  0  1  3.1  2.  2.   4.
PAKENHAMh93 - 1 31 2 1 12 1 1 33 - - -2 2 1 21 1 2 1    2  2  4  24  4  5  3
PORT AUGUSTAg1 1 1 12 3 3 3.- - - -- - 2. -- - - -- - - 3- - - 11 1 2. -- - - - 2  2  1  23  2  3.  2
SUNSHINE COASTs53 2 2 2- 2. 3. -- - - 21 3 1. -1 3 3 11 1 - 3.- - 3. -- 2. - -  3  1  1.  13  4.  2.  3
            w  13  53w  21  53
            24.5%39.6%

Header: w m h e =  Wrat (w), Wmod (m), Whcp (h), Wexpk (e)

For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

 

Jockey & Trainer combinations and profile (Holly Watson)

Holly Watson began her career as an apprentice jockey in October 2020. She comes from a non-racing background but grew up and around horses, starting with pony club involvement. The 24-year-old, who was apprenticed to Simon Miller, rode 69 winners for the 2022-2023 season, including the Listed Sheila Gwynne Classic on Stellar Vista.

Another notable achievement was Holly's winning the inaugural Damien Oliver Award at the conclusion of the 2020-2023 season, which not only recognized her riding achievements but also her deep commitment to the broader aspects of thoroughbred racing and animal welfare generally. Previously she had won the Leading Apprentice title. Holly's philosophy: You couldnt be in racing if you didnt love animals because its your life and you have to be their carer. Its the top priority.

Holly is currently in the top-20 of the 2023-2024 W.A. Jockey Premiership on 44 wins, with a strike rate of 7.8%.

(Note: Holly is currently side-lined with a knee injury suffered in a recent barrier incident.)

The following table examines the jockey-trainer combinations under three conditions:

  • When the horse is the Wrat 100 pointer and started at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
  • When the horse runs as the race favourite at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
  • When the horse starts at odds between $2.00 and $5.90
From 01/08/2022 To 21/07/2024 100    fav    2.0-5.9  
Holly Watson withwin%1st2nd3rdunpwin%1st2nd3rdunpwin%1st2nd3rdunp
Mitchell Pateman16.7%12039.5%255921.9%16141033
Simon Miller20.0%5431340.0%10321021.2%1412931
                
A W Maley100.0%1000-----50.0%1100
B A Miller50.0%1100-----50.0%1100
C G Willis0.0%000150.0%200240.0%2012
D & B Pearce50.0%1100100.0%100050.0%1100
D M Luciani0.0%01220.0%03218.7%24314
D T McAuliffe50.0%10100.0%011123.1%3433
G M Ayres----------33.3%1020
L Smith33.3%120033.3%120025.0%1201
Luke Fernie25.0%10030.0%00127.1%11210
Mack Hall----------100.0%1000
Meryl Hayley----------50.0%1010
Misty Bazeley----------100.0%1000
Mitchell Pateman16.7%12039.5%255921.9%16141033
P C Western100.0%1000-----50.0%1001
P E Roberts-----100.0%100040.0%2012
P J Fernie0.0%01000.0%011025.0%1120
Raymond Vincent50.0%201166.7%201040.0%4114
Simon Miller20.0%5431340.0%10321021.2%1412931
Steven Burton----------33.3%2103
T M Andrews0.0%001033.3%110116.7%1113

The statistics cover the jockey's rides throughout Australia, with combinations that have 5 wins or more highlighted separately as well as being included in the body of the table. Included in the table are only those stables for which the jockey has registered at least one win in the $2.00 - $5.90 odds range during the period covered which is from 1 August 2022, so last season and the current season.

Warren - Wiz-Ed



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