Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Raceday Report - Wizard Ratings Report

Wizard Daily Report Monday, 16 September 2024

  • Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Raceday Report
  • Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results for week ending September 15

Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Raceday Report

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof, and today the Wizard Freebie is a look at the Wizard Raceday Report.

The Wizard Raceday Report brings together the quantitative side of Wizard (the four ratings options) and the market moves and rebalancing that have taken place overnight and in the early part of the morning.

The aim of Raceday is to identify those instances where market forces are indicating that one (or more) of the Wizard ratings options may have a better chance of success than, say, Wrat just looked at on its own merits.

Wizard Raceday Report

 Race: Race number; an asterisk (*) means there is at least one first time starter in the race.

 Tab: Racebook, Tab number of the horse; an asterisk (*) means the horse was the best backed in early betting on the race.

 Horse: Name of the qualifier; an asterisk (*) means there is more than one qualifier in the race.

 Rating: The letter indicates the qualifier is a 100 pointer in W (Wrat), M (Wmod), H (Whcp), or E (Wexpk); a double asterisk (**) means that the qualifier has been flagged as a special qualifier.

 Jockey: Name of the jockey; an asterisk (*) indicates a past winning jockey on the horse replacing a non-winning jockey.

 Trainer: The name of the trainer or training partnership.

 2-5.9 Jockey: The number of winners and the strike rate for the Jockeys rides in the $2.00 to $5.90 odds range over the last 12 months.

 2-5.9 Trainer: The number of winners and the strike rate for the Trainers runners in the $2.00 to $5.90 odds range over the last 12 months.

 2-5.9 Jck/Trn: The number of winners and the strike rate for this Jockey/Trainer combination in the $2.00 to $5.90 odds range over the last 12 months.

 TCDW: Track, Class, Distance, Wet; Capital letter indicates winner, lower case has placed.

 Horse Form Cycle: Number of runs since a spell. A number only if the horse has not won at this stage in one of its past three preparations.

              Examples: 3 Px1o = 3rd run from spell, o placed (2nd or 3rd) third up last prep, 1st when 3rd up two preps back, x     unplaced when third up three preps back.

              Examples: 1 Fox1 = having first run from spell, 1st when first-up last prep, x unplaced when first-up up two preps back,

 Horse W-WinPerc: The number of career wins and the strike rate for the horse.

 Race Class: The class of the race.

 Race Distance: The distance of the race.

 

Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results for week ending September 15

For last week the daily and weekly results were:

 MonTueWedThuFriSatSunWeek
Wrat one top rated50.0%33.5%32.0%33.3%27.3%20.2%25.8%28.1%
Wrat top-two rated61.1%51.6%50.0%44.4%42.4%31.7%40.3%41.9%
Raceday - one qualifier50.0%29.0%27.1%36.4%37.9%25.0%na30.5%

 

A few of the more notable double-figure winners last week that were top rated on Wmod, Whcp, Wexpk and/or top-rated (Wrat-1) or rated second top (Wrat-2):

CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating
MUSWELLBROOK10/09/202463Sixspeed15.30WRat-2 & WMod
       
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating
MUSWELLBROOK10/09/202463Sixspeed15.30WMod & WRat-2
       
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating
BALAKLAVA11/09/2024812Sir Panama20.00WHcp & WExPk
       
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating
BELMONT PARK11/09/2024711Roch Legacy36.60WExpk
BALAKLAVA11/09/2024812Sir Panama20.00WExpk & WHcp
NORTHAM15/09/202447Ima Wild Girl16.90WExpk
BATHURST15/09/202459Always A Saint29.70WExpk

 

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk and in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat winners include the top rated and second top-rated winners.) The Raceday reported winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there are two qualifiers in a race.

 

Sun 15.09.24 Race 1Race 2Race 3Race 4Race 5Race 6Race 7Race 8Race 9Top ratedTop 2 rated
 SOTWMHERWMHERWMHERWMHERWMHERWMHERWMHERWMHERWMHERWMHERWMHER
BATHURSTs52 2 - 3 0- - - - 0- - - - 0- - - - 0- - - 1 01 1 3 - 0- - - - 01 1 - - 0 2  2  0  1  03  3  0  1  0
COFFS HARBOURg4- - - - 0- - - - 0- 3 - - 0- - - 1. 0- 3 - 2 02 - - - 01 1 3. - 0  1  1  0  1.  02  1  0  2.  0
DEVONPORT SYNTHETICaw2 3. 2 2 0- - - - 01 - 2 1 03 3 2 2 01 2 2 3 0- - - - 0- - - - 0- - 3 - 0- - - 3 02  0  0  1  03  1  4  3  0
HALIDONg4- - - - 0- - - - 03 2 3 1 0- - - 2 02 - 1. 1. 0- 2 - - 0- - - - 0  0  0  1.  2.  01  2  1.  3.  0
NORTHAMg4- - - - 01 3 2 2 01 3 1 1 0- - 3 1 0- - - - 02 3 2 - 03 2 2 - 0- 2 3 - 0 2  0  1  2  03  2  4  3  0
PIONEER PARKg3 - - - 02 3 2 3 01 1 - - 0- - - 3. 0- 3 - - 0- 3 - - 02 2 1. 2 0  1  1  1.  0  03  2  2.  1  0
SEYMOURs51 1 1 2 0- - - - 0- - - 3. 03 3 - - 02 3 - - 01 1 1. - 03 - - - 01 - - - 0 3  2  2.  0  04  2  2.  1  0
SUNSHINE COASTg41 1 1. - 0- - - - 02 2 2. 3. 01 2 3. 1 0- 2 - 3. 01 - - - 01 3 3 - 01 1 2 - 0 5  2  1.  1  06  5  3.  1  0
           Wrat  16  62Wrat  25  62
           25.80%40.30%
           Rday naRday na

 

Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).

For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results



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