Wizard Daily Report Monday, 4 November 2024
* Wizard Ratings Report - Last week - Last Month- Last Year
* Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials Wrat4 Report for Ballarat
* Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results for week ending November 4
Wizard Ratings Report - Last week - Last Month - Last Year
Today we report on how the original Wizard rating (Wrat) has performed over three time periods and report on the very significant results achieved by the new Wizard Raceday Report, which also selects one runner in each race. (Raceday brings into play each of the Wizards four rating options and early betting market action).
First, lets compare the results achieved by Wrat and Raceday since the latter was made available to subscribers in late August of this year.
Over these past 10 weeks the Wrat strike rate has been right in the middle of its expected range at 26.0%. (Year on year Wrat has delivered a win strike rate between 25% and 27% of the 17,000 races Wizard rates annually.)
In this same period, the Raceday qualifier has delivered a win strike rate of 30.5%, which is a 17.3% improvement over the basic Wrat assessment.
The full head-to-head results for the past ten weeks:
| week ending 4/11/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 31.3% | 26.1% | 22.7% | 29.7% | 21.3% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 22.8% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 33.3% | 27.3% | 39.5% | 37.1% | 31.8% | 22.5% | 28.2% | 29.1% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 27/10/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 36.4% | 22.6% | 15.8% | 43.3% | 15.9% | 25.9% | 25.4% | 25.1% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 33.3% | 25.0% | 21.1% | 38.5% | 25.9% | 27.8% | 33.9% | 28.8% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 20/10/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 33.0% | 23.5% | 23.1% | 18.8% | 28.6% | 19.7% | 39.1% | 24.9% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 40.0% | 26.7% | 22.2% | 26.7% | 36.2% | 22.9% | 44.4% | 29.2% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 13/10/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 22.0% | 30.4% | 36.1% | 44.7% | 28.6% | 24.3% | 30.6% | 29.5% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 25.0% | 36.4% | 35.3% | 44.4% | 37.0% | 33.3% | 25.5% | 33.7% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 6/10/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 16.1% | 48.5% | 13.5% | 25.0% | 27.5% | 25.0% | 26.7% | 25.8% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 31.0% | 36.4% | 20.0% | 25.0% | 22.9% | 26.5% | 28.6% | 26.8% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 29/09/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 30.0% | 48.3% | 22.2% | 36.7% | 8.5% | 24.7% | 32.8% | 27.4% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 38.5% | 40.7% | 29.4% | 28.6% | 25.0% | 27.1% | 37.9% | 31.7% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 22/09/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 18.2% | 8.0% | 23.7% | 23.1% | 41.0% | 29.6% | 22.2% | 25.6% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 18.2% | 16.7% | 31.6% | 24.0% | 38.2% | 33.0% | 31.9% | 30.0% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 15/09/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 50.0% | 33.5% | 32.0% | 33.3% | 27.3% | 20.2% | 25.8% | 28.1% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 50.0% | 29.0% | 27.1% | 36.4% | 37.9% | 25.0% | na | 30.5% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 8/09/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 12.5% | 36.4% | 20.0% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 29.8% | 25.6% | 24.7% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 12.5% | 40.0% | 28.9% | 35.9% | 20.0% | 31.5% | 42.5% | 31.6% |
| | | | | | | | | |
| week ending 1/09/24 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat top rated | 33.0% | 22.0% | 28.2% | 19.4% | 25.6% | 26.2% | 29.3% | 26.4% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 42.0% | 30.8% | 30.8% | 37.9% | 34.3% | 32.6% | 37.0% | 34.3% |
We are so pleased with the success of the Raceday qualifier that this horse is to be highlighted in Wizard's new Magic Report when it also qualifies under the Magic criteria. This innovation should ensure final selection-making is streamlined as much as possible.
Click here for a full explanation of the Wizard Raceday Report.
Now, to provide an overview of how Wrat has performed short-term and long-term the following table is presented with a weekly, monthly, and yearly timeframe.
| Wrat - Last week | Results | Win % | | Wrat - October 2024 | Results | Win % | | Wrat 1/11/23 to 3/11/24 | Results | Win % |
| Winner | 76 - 331 | 23.0% | | Winner | 384 - 1436 | 26.7% | | Winner | 4405 - 17104 | 25.8% |
| Winner in top 2 | 135 -331 | 40.8% | | Winner in top 2 | 624 - 1436 | 43.5% | | Winner in top 2 | 7273 - 17104 | 42.5% |
| Winner in top 4 | 234 - 331 | 70.7% | | Winner in top 4 | 1018 - 1436 | 70.9% | | Winner in top 4 | 11592 - 17104 | 67.8% |
| Quinella top 2 | 44 - 331 | 13.3% | | Quinella top 2 | 156 - 1432 | 10.9% | | Quinella top 2 | 1818 - 17066 | 10.7% |
| Quinella box 4 | 151 - 331 | 45.6% | | Quinella box 4 | 608 - 1432 | 42.5% | | Quinella box 4 | 6775 - 17066 | 39.7% |
| Exacta top 2 | 22 - 331 | 6.6% | | Exacta top 2 | 90 - 1432 | 6.3% | | Exacta top 2 | 971 - 17066 | 5.7% |
| Trifecta in order | 12 - 330 | 3.6% | | Trifecta in order | 22 - 1430 | 1.5% | | Trifecta in order | 294 - 17006 | 1.7% |
| Trifecta box top 3 | 29 - 330 | 8.8% | | Trifecta box top 3 | 98 - 1430 | 6.9% | | Trifecta box top 3 | 1244 - 17006 | 7.3% |
| Trifecta box top 4 | 79 - 330 | 23.9% | | Trifecta box top 4 | 279 - 1430 | 19.5% | | Trifecta box top 4 | 3329 - 17006 | 19.6% |
Again, the consistency of Wrat is self-evident. This proven ratings methodology is a really reliable tool for win or place betting, and all types of multiple/exotic betting.
Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials Wrat4 Report for Ballarat
Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof, and today the Wizard Freebie is Wizard Essentials Wrat4 report for Ballarat. All Wizard reports for this and the other meetings run today are now available to subscribers.
Click here for a full explanation of the Wizard Essentials report.
Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results for week ending November 3
For last week the daily and weekly results were:
| | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week |
| Wrat one top rated | 31.3% | 26.1% | 22.7% | 29.7% | 21.3% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 22.8% |
| Wrat top-two rated | 43.8% | 43.5% | 36.4% | 48.6% | 40.4% | 39.3% | 38.6% | 40.5% |
| Raceday - one qualifier | 33.3% | 27.3% | 39.5% | 37.1% | 31.8% | 22.5% | 28.2% | 29.1% |
A few of the more notable double-figure winners last week that were top rated on Wmod, Whcp, Wexpk and/or top-rated (Wrat-1) or rated second top (Wrat-2):
| Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
| TRARALGON | 2/11/2024 | 8 | 15 | The Wizard King | 16.20 | WRat-1 & WMod & WHcp & WExPk |
| NARACOORTE | 3/11/2024 | 6 | 2 | Marcolt | 12.20 | WRat-2 |
| | | | | | | |
| Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
| TRARALGON | 2/11/2024 | 8 | 15 | The Wizard King | 16.20 | WMod & WRat-1 & WHcp & WExPk |
| | | | | | | |
| Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
| TRARALGON | 2/11/2024 | 8 | 15 | The Wizard King | 16.20 | WHcp & WRat-1 & WMod & WExPk |
| | | | | | | |
| Course | Date | Race | Tab | Horse | TAB Win | Rating |
| TRARALGON | 2/11/2024 | 8 | 15 | The Wizard King | 16.20 | WExpk & WRat-1 & WMod & WHcp |
| NOWRA | 3/11/2024 | 5 | 9 | Khaleej | 15.80 | WExpk |
| LAUNCESTON | 30/10/2024 | 6 | 4 | Geegee Jet By | 14.20 | WExpk |
The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk and in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat winners include the top rated and second top-rated winners.) The Raceday reported winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there is always only the one Raceday qualifier.
| Sun 03.11.24 | | Race 1 | Race 2 | Race 3 | Race 4 | Race 5 | Race 6 | Race 7 | Race 8 | Race 9 | Top rated | Top 2 rated |
| | SOT | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER |
| INNISFAIL | g3 | - 3 3. - - | 1 1 3. 1. 1 | 2 - 2. - - | - 3 2. 3. - | - - - 1 - | - - 1. - 1 | - 2 1. 2 1 | - 3 2 3. 0 | | 1 1 2. 2. 3 | 2 2 5. 3. 0 |
| MORNINGTON | g4 | - - - - - | 3 - 3 3 - | 1 2 2 2 1 | 1 1 1 2 1 | 2 3 2 - - | 3 3 2 - - | - - 2 - - | - - - 2 - | 3 3 - - - | 2 1 1 0 2 | 3 2 5 3 0 |
| MUSWELLBROOK | g4g3 | 3 3 2 - - | 1 1 3 - 1 | - - - - - | 3 2 - - - | 2 2 2 1 - | - 3 - - - | 1 1 - - 1 | | | 2 2 0 1 2 | 3 4 2 1 0 |
| NARACOORTE | g4g3 | 2 2 1. - - | 2 3 3 - 0 | - 2 3. 2 - | 2 2 - - - | 2 2 3 - - | 2 - - - - | 3 - - - - | - - - 1 - | | 0 0 1. 1 - | 5 4 1. 2 0 |
| NARROGIN | g3 | - - - - 0 | 1 1 1 2 1 | - 2 - - - | - - 2 - - | - - - - - | 3 - 1 1 0 | | | | 1 1 2 1 1 | 1 2 3 2 0 |
| NOWRA | s5 | 2 1 - - 1 | 1 1 1. - 1 | 1 1 1 2 1 | 3 3. 1. - - | - - - 1 - | - - - - 0 | | | | 2 3 3. 1 3 | 3 3 3. 2 0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Wrat 8 44 | Wrat 17 44 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 18.20% | 38.60% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Rday 11 39 | Rday no qual |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 28.20% | |
Header: WMHER = Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results