Wizard Daily Report Friday, 20 December 2024

• Bringing it all together - Wizard MATRIX Report (NEW)
• Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Quick Form for Lismore
• Wizard Ratings and Raceday Results, Thursday, December 19

                                  Bringing it all together - Wizard MATRIX Report (NEW)

Wizard has pioneered the provision of ratings/form-rich reports that aim to make selecting and betting more fact-based and user-friendly. The ultimate aim of this process has been to integrate into one report the key information from various Wizard reports. Today we release the beta version of that report - Wizard MATRIX.

The Wizard Matrix report brings together key information from other Wizard reports, specifically - Essentials, Raceday, Watch, and Magic.

There is one basic Matrix report, which is posted to the everyrace website twice on race morning (to allow for scratchings to be processed).

• around 10:30am (incorporating scratchings for NSW, Vic, Tasmania, Queensland, N.T.)
• around 12 noon (updated for scratchings from W.A.)

There are three variations of the Matrix report.

• Wizard Matrix (First Four)
• Wizard Matrix (Full Field)
• Wizard Matrix (Abridged)

Space limitations do not allow for a full description of the Matrix report on this page, so an abridged description is provided with a link to the full content explanation at the end of this description.

           Wizard Matrix (First Four)                                                                                                     17/12/2024

In the Matrix (First Four) report shown here, and in the Matrix (Full Field) report there are two panels.

The left panel (panel 1) focuses on the ratings and odds profile of each qualifying runner, and also highlights where that runner has been identified as a key horse in one or more of the Raceday, Watch, and Magic reports.

The right panel (panel 2) provides a range of ratings and form-related information as well as significant trainer and jockey stats from the Magic and Raceday reports.

In summary, Matrix (First Four) and Matrix (Full Field) bring together a broad range of key performance indicators from Wizard's other in-depth reports.

On the other hand, Matrix (Abridged) focuses on the LHS panel and is ideal for those users who prefer to concentrate their race analysis on the top four Wizard Wrat rated runners and their odds-related information, but also wish to know if any of these top-four runners are also qualifiers in other key Wizard reports.

Panel 1 (left) - Description of content

# - Tab or racebook number

Horse name - Name of the runner

W - The Wizard Wrat ranking

Note: Matix (First Four) focuses on the top 4 Wrat runners but where a horse outside the top 4 Wrat runners is a qualifier in Rday, Watch, or Magic reports it is added to this list.)

Rday - A Raceday report qualifier that is two (**) or four (****) flagged.

Watch - A Wizard Watch Morning Movers qualifier.

Magic - A qualifier from the Wizard Magic report.

AOdds - The Wizard Assessed Odds for the race, adjusted for scratchings.

AO% - The Wizard Assessed Odds expressed as a percentage.

EOam - The (average) early race-morning odds offered by wagering operators, adjusted to a full market percentage of 120%.

Note: Where a horse has firmed 3% or more from its average race-eve odds this is highlighted by an asterisk (*).

EO% - Wagering operator average early race-morning odds expressed as a percentage. For example, a horse priced by bookmakers at $7.00 would be assessed as a 14.3% chance of winning.

MaxR - A ratings assessment based on an analysis of key ratings/form/odds information embodied in this Matrix report.

Panel 2 (right)  - Description of content

WMHER - The runner's ranking on Wizard's WRat, WMod, WHCP, WExpk ratings and the Raceday Report qualifier.

Cycle (Runs From Spell) - Shows any pattern of success for the horse at this stage of its previous preparations.

F/N (Filter, Negatives) - Wizard examines and reports on some key positives and negatives facing each runner in the race. In the Matrix report a horse which meets the Filter criteria is highlighted with a "F" in this column; a runner with no negatives is highlighted with an "N".

Pace - The running style of a horse is often an important factor in deciding the outcome of a race, with history showing that horses that race in or near to the lead, especially by the home turn, can enjoy an advantage over backmarkers.  The coding used in the Pace column is as follows: F (frontrunner), O (on pace), M (midfield and off pace), B (backmarker).

TCDW - This Matrix column provides a quick reference guide as to how a runner has performed under four key conditions racetrack, class, distance, going.

Form - The finishing positions of the horse in its last four starts.

Win% - In this column Matrix shows the number of career wins and the current win percentage. Horses without a win (maidens) will have no win details recorded in this column but with the horse's number of career starts in brackets.

Dist - Shown here is the number of wins recorded by each horse at this distance or over a distance within 10% of the distance of the forthcoming race, and the number of starts in this range.

Tr Magic - This information is drawn from the Wizard Magic report and shows the win strike rate achieved by a trainer over the last 6 years.

Trn% - This trainer-related statistic is drawn from the Wizard Raceday report.

Jk/Tr % - This jockey-trainer combination statistic shows the number of winners from the stable and its strike rate when the runners started in the $2.00 to $5.90 odds range, and when the rider is the same as that engaged to ride the horse in the coming race.

Jk50% - This stat is drawn from a special "jockey form" look-up facility on the Wizard, which shows the details of each jockey's last 50 rides, and the win percentage from those 50 rides. It is that win percentage which is included in the Matrix report.

Click here for a full explanation of the Wizard Matrix report.

Wizard Freebie - Wizard Quick Form for Lismore

Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today the Wizard Freebie is the Wizard Quick Form for Lismore. The full and abridged Wizard reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.

Wizard Ratings Results for Thursday, December 19

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by Wrat, Wmod, Whcp, and Wexpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.

Header: WMHER =  Wrat (W), Wmod (M), Whcp (H), Wexpk (E), Raceday (R).

For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results

 The full day-by-day results for the week so far: