Wizard Daily Report Thursday, 27 March 2025
- Wizard MATRIX Outperforms - First Quarterly Report - Part 1
- Wizard Freebie - Wizard Magic Report
- Wizard Ratings and Raceday and Matrix and Summary Results
Below is the First Quarterly Report for Wizard Matrix. It is Part 1 of a series. Part 2, hopefully will appear in this Daily Report this coming Saturday. Part 2 deals with Selective approaches and will demonstrate how such an approach using Matrix can reduce the number of qualifying races by 75% to 90% and consistently achieve weekly strike rates in excess of 35%. One option to be discussed in Part 2 reduced the number of weekly bets to around 20 and recorded a win strike rate of 47.2% over the first 13 weeks of Matrix operations.
Wizard MATRIX Outperforms - First Quarterly Report - Part 1
Wizard has pioneered the provision of ratings/form-rich reports that aim to make selecting and betting more fact-based and user-friendly. The ultimate aim of this process has been to integrate into one report the key information from various Wizard reports.
With Wizard MATRIX we have created a winner-finding resource of unmatched value.
The Wizard Matrix report brings together key information from other Wizard reports, specifically - Essentials, Raceday, Watch, and Magic.
A full explanation of the Wizard Matrix report can be found here.
The key ratings included in Matrix are the Wizard Weight Rating (Wrat), consistently successful since first published in the Wizard newspaper in 1988, the Wizard Raceday Rating, and the new Wizard Matrix Rating (MaxR) that finally integrates the key elements of weight-rating/form/market-moves into one ratings figure.
The following table shows the relative performance of these three key Wizard ratings since the Matrix report first appeared last December. Over this period the Matrix report has rated, analysed, and reported on, more than 4,200 races! The result: MaxR 100 pointer has outperformed the traditional WRat1 100 pointer by 18.5%.
(Note: In Part 2 of this article, I will show how a Matrix selective betting approach improves the single-selection strike rate to an astonishing 47%.)
Table 1 - Relative performance of three ratings options in Matrix.
| Weekly % | WRat1 | RDay | MaxR | WRat12 | MaxR12 |
| 17/3 - 23/3 | 27.9% | 32.4% | 36.4% | 46.7% | 54.8% |
| 10/3 - 16/3 | 27.1% | 30.0% | 34.9% | 46.4% | 48.3% |
| 3/3 - 9/3 | 26.8% | 33.1% | 32.3% | 46.7% | 50.5% |
| 24/2 - 2/3 | 23.3% | 24.1% | 28.6% | 39.7% | 45.5% |
| 17/2 - 23/2 | 30.1% | 34.5% | 32.5% | 48.0% | 49.1% |
| 10/2 - 16/2 | 31.6% | 36.6% | 36.3% | 50.7% | 53.3% |
| 3/2 - 9/2 | 23.3% | 30.0% | 33.7% | 46.0% | 47.9% |
| 27/1 - 2/2 | 31.5% | 33.5% | 28.2% | 47.1% | 47.9% |
| 20/1 - 26/1 | 30.0% | 32.0% | 34.7% | 46.3% | 49.4% |
| 13/1 - 19/1 | 25.1% | 26.8% | 26.7% | 44.2% | 45.5% |
| 6/1 - 12/1 | 24.2% | 26.6% | 23.1% | 40.4% | 42.4% |
| 30/12 - 5/1 | 29.5% | 32.0% | 32.5% | 49.7% | 47.9% |
| 23/12 - 29/12 | 27.5% | 32.8% | 34.8% | 48.0% | 53.1% |
| 13 weeks | 27.0% | 31.1% | 32.0% | 45.2% | 48.9% |
The results above show the weekly strike rates for the three ratings for each of the 13 weeks that Matrix has been available to Wizard users. The top-rated runner strike rates are shown in WRat1 (Wizard Rating 100 pointer), RDay (Raceday Qualifier), and MaxR (Matrix 100 pointer). The top-two rated runners strike rate is shown in WRat12 and MaxR12.
The highest weekly strike rate for each option is colour coded: blue for the single top-rated option, and green for the top-two rated option.
Historically, the Wizard 100 pointer has recorded an annual strike rate between 25% and 27%, so the 18.5% improvement by MaxR is based on the top of the WRat historical range. Using the average of 26% it would be a 22.2% improvement. When every percentage point counts this is significant.
To further illustrate the relative performance of the ratings options, the follow table shows on how many days of each week a particular ratings option scored the highest strike rate. (Note: On some days two ratings options tied for first spot, and they were treated as equal first.)
Table 2 - Daily performance of three ratings options in Matrix
| Weekly | WRat1 | RDay | MaxR 100 | WRat12 | MaxR12 |
| 17/3 - 23/3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 10/3 - 16/3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 3/3 - 9/3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 24/2 - 2/3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 17/2 - 23/2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10/2 - 16/2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3/2 - 9/2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 27/1 - 2/2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 20/1 - 26/1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 13/1 - 19/1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6/1 - 12/1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 30/12 - 5/1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 23/12 - 29/12 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Days Overall | 14 | 35 | 48 | 36 | 62 |
From the above it is obvious the Wizard approach of integrating overnight and early-morning market information into the ratings/analysis algorithm is a winner. A time-honoured weight ratings approach outperformed on 14 days, whilst a fully integrated Wizard approach did better on 48 days.
Backing the top-two rated runners, the integrated approach outperformed by almost 2 to 1 on a day basis and, as shown in Table 1 above, the weekly result was 12 to 1 in favour of MaxR12.
There is one basic Matrix report, which is posted to the everyrace website twice on race morning (to allow for scratchings to be processed).
- around 10:30am (incorporating scratchings for NSW, Vic, Tasmania, Queensland, NT)
- around 12 noon (updated for scratchings from W.A.)
There are three variations of the Matrix report.
- Wizard Matrix (First Four)
- Wizard Matrix (Full Field)
- Wizard Matrix (Abridged)
Daily Wizard Freebie - Wizard Magic (abridged) Report for Gosford
Each day The Wizard will publish on this page one of its Wizard Plus reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today a Wizard Magic (abridged) Report. The full report and all other reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers
Click here for a full explanation of the Wizard Magic (Abridged) report.
Wizard Ratings and Raceday and Matrix and Summary Results
The full day-by-day results for Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners, the Raceday Qualifier, and the Matrix (MaxR) 100 pointer and the MaxR top-two this week so far. The (4 weeks) column shows the results for the four weeks prior to the current week and the 2023-2024 column shows the WRat results for the full 2023-2024 racing season.
The results summary is now colour coded so that it will be easier for readers to track the relative performance of the Top Rated (blue) and Top-Two Rated (green) ratings options on a daily, and longer term, basis.
| Week ending 30/3 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week | 4 weeks | 2023-2024 |
| Wrat one top rated | 71.4% | 31.8% | 39.1% | | | | | | 25.9% | 26.0% |
| Wrat top-two rated | 71.4% | 36.4% | 56.5% | | | | | | 44.3% | 42.7% |
| Wrat top-three rated | 71.4% | 59.1% | 65.2% | | | | | | 57.8% | 57.0% |
| Wrat top-four rated | 71.4% | 68.2% | 73.9% | | | | | | 69.0% | 67.7% |
| Raceday - one qual. | 80.0% | 27.2% | 38.6% | | | | | | 29.4% | -- |
| MaxR - Matrix 100 | 14.3% | 22.7% | 26.1% | | | | | | 32.9% | -- |
| MaxR top-two rated | 42.9% | 45.5% | 50.0% | | | | | | 49.6% | -- |
The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by WRat, WMod, WHcp, and WExpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.
| Wed 26.03.25 | | Race 1 | Race 2 | Race 3 | Race 4 | Race 5 | Race 6 | Race 7 | Race 8 | Race 9 | Top rated | Top 2 rated |
| | SOT | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER | WMHER |
| BELMONT PARK | g4 | 1 3 - 3. 1 | 1 1 1 - 1 | 1 - - - - | 1 1 1 1 1 | - - 3 - - | 2 - 3. 3. - | - 3. - 1. 1 | | | 4 2 2 2. 4 | 5 2 2 2. 0 |
| CANBERRA | g4 | 1 1 2 - 1 | 1 1 2 1 1 | - - 1 - - | 3 - 2 3 - | 1 2 - - 1 | - 3 - - - | | | | 3 2 1 1 3 | 3 3 4 1 0 |
| EAGLE FARM | s7 | 2 2 3 - - | - - - - - | 2 - - 1 - | 2 2 - - - | - - 3 1 - | 1 1 1 2 1 | - - - - - | 1 1 - 3 1 | 2 2 - - - | 2 2 1 2 2 | 6 5 1 3 0 |
| RANDWICK INS | g4 | - - - - - | - - - - - | 1 1 3. - 1 | - - 2. 3 - | 2 1 3 1 1 | - - - 2 0 | 1 - - 3. - | 3 2 - - - | | 2 2 0 1 2 | 3 3 1. 2 0 |
| SANDOWN-HILLSIDE | g4 | 3 3 3 1 - | 1 1 - 2. 1 | 3 3 - - - | 1 1 3. - 1 | 1 3 2 - 1 | 2 - - - - | 1 1 - 2. 1 | 1 1 3. - 1 | | 5 4 0 1 5 | 6 4 1 3. 0 |
| STRATHALBYN | s5 | 1 1 2 3. 1 | - - - - - | 1 2 - - 0 | - - - - - | 1 2 - 3. - | - - 3. - - | - - - - - | - 3 - - - | | 3 1 0 0 1 | 3 3 1 0 0 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Wrat 19 46 | Wrat 26 46 |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 41.30% | 56.50% |
| | | | | | | | | | | | Rday 17 44 | Rday no qual |
| | | | | | | | | | | | 38.60% | |
Header: WMHER = WRat (W), WMod (M), WHcp (H), WExpk (E), Raceday (R).
For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results