Warren Block's Daily Report - Wednesday, 10 April 2025
- Matrix 64.7% strike rate yesterday highlights out-performing sub-set
- The "winningest" trainers last week
- Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives Results
Matrix 64.7% strike rate yesterday highlights out-performing sub-set
I have always recognized the importance of making Wizard's content deliver the best possible strike rates and selection consistency, for all users. This has been the case since the Wizard first appeared as a newspaper formguide in 1988, and the re-development of the Online content over the last two years has given me the opportunity to further pursue this goal.
The major development that has occurred with the new online Wizard is the addition of special-purpose reports. These reports, especially Raceday-Watch-Essentials-Matrix, aim to make winner finding more reliable and easier to do than ever before.
To this end, I use colour-coding in the reports to highlight key details.
Take Matrix as an example.
A while ago I started to colour-code some MaxR 100 pointers. The reason for doing this was to highlight the MaxR 100 pointers whose race-morning odds had shortened (over-night or early am) by 3% or more. (Note: In the Matrix report the runners that have shortened by 3% or more were earlier asterisked [*] and colour-coded to highlight that fact.)
Here are a couple of Matrix report races from yesterday's Hawkesbury meeting.

Yesterday these colour-coded MaxR 100 pointers were successful in 11 of the 17 races so highlighted. Now, I readily concede this 64.7% strike rate is an outlier, but noting its achievement does give me the opportunity to point out that these highlighted runners have actually outperformed both Wrat 100 pointers and all MaxR 100 pointers since the Matrix report was released last December.
| | Wrat 100 | | | MaxR100 | | | *EO & MR | |
| win | races | win% | win | races | win% | win | races | win% |
Yesterday 9/4/25 | 7 | 41 | 17.1% | 16 | 41 | 39.0% | 11 | 17 | 64.7% |
Last week | 104 | 358 | 29.1% | 117 | 358 | 32.7% | 56 | 168 | 33.3% |
Last 4 weeks | 375 | 1299 | 28.9% | 441 | 1299 | 33.9% | 199 | 556 | 35.8% |
Matrix 1st Quarter | 1158 | 4292 | 27.0% | 1357 | 4246 | 32.0% | 591 | 1750 | 33.8% |
I have pointed out before that the MaxR 100 pointers have a higher strike rate than Wrat 100 pointers, by some 20%, and the table above shows that the Matrix 100 pointers that are also an asterisked EOam runner actually do better than the MaxR 100 pointers overall. Another Wizard sub-set that I would suggest is worth noting.
Also worth noting is the fact that this Matrix highlighting (*EOam and MaxR) identified Full Hao in race 3 as likely to outperform its assessment as the 4th top rated Wrat runner. It won.
The "winningest" trainers last week
Here is the list of the trainers who produced two or more winners at any Tab meeting last week.
20250402 | Ascot | A G Durrant | 2 | William Pike (2) | | |
20250401 | Doomben | A Neasham & R Archibald | 2 | Cejay Graham | Damien Thornton | |
20250404 | Launceston | Adam Trinder | 2 | Christopher Pang (2) | | |
20250331 | Wellington | B F Cavanough | 2 | Braith Nock | Mikayla Weir | |
20250404 | Sapphire Coast | B Joseph & P & M Jones | 2 | Claire Ramsbotham (2) | | |
20250405 | Caulfield | Ben & Will & Jd Hayes | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | Luke Currie | |
20250331 | Yarra Valley | Ben & Will & Jd Hayes | 2 | Ben Allen | Michael Dee | |
20250401 | Geelong | Ben & Will & Jd Hayes | 2 | Daniel Stackhouse | Hayley Spitse | |
20250405 | Randwick | C J Waller | 2 | Damian Lane (2) | | |
20250401 | Tamworth | Cody Morgan | 3 | Izzy Neale (2) | Mitchell Bell | |
20250405 | Toowoomba | Corey & Kylie Geran | 2 | Karl Zechner (2) | | |
20250405 | Caulfield | E & D Browne | 2 | Dean Yendall | John Allen | |
20250404 | Townsville | F J Wieland | 3 | Sean Cormack (3) | | |
20250401 | Geelong | G Eurell | 2 | Liam Riordan | Logan Bates | |
20250405 | Randwick | G Waterhouse & A Bott | 2 | Tim Clark (2) | | |
20250404 | Townsville | Graham R Hughes | 2 | Justin P Stanley | Wanderson D'Avila | |
20250404 | Albany | Indianna Weinert | 3 | Alex Hearn (2) | Madi Derrick | |
20250401 | Mackay | J H Manzelmann | 2 | Erin Molloy (2) | | |
20250406 | Hobart | J K Blacker | 2 | Bulent Muhcu | Jackson Radley | |
20250404 | Launceston | J K Blacker | 2 | David Pires | Hayley Mccarthy | |
20250401 | Rosehill | Joseph Pride | 2 | Chad Schofield | Joshua Parr | |
20250401 | Newcastle | K A Lees | 2 | Andrew Gibbons (2) | | |
20250406 | Pioneer Park | Kym Healy | 2 | Jade Hampson (2) | | |
20250405 | Pioneer Park | Kym Healy | 3 | Jade Hampson | Jason Lyon | Lek Maloney |
20250406 | Armidale | Lou Mary | 2 | Donovan Dillon | Jake Pracey-Holmes | |
20250405 | Toowoomba | M A Currie | 2 | Kelsey Lenton | Nathan Fazackerley | |
20250406 | Mornington | M Price & M Kent Jnr | 2 | Beau Mertens (2) | | |
20250402 | Canberra | Matthew Kelley | 2 | Jess Taylor (2) | | |
20250406 | Gundagai | Matthew Kelley | 2 | Jeff Penza (2) | | |
20250402 | Warwick Farm | Matthew Smith | 2 | Braith Nock | Zac Lloyd | |
20250403 | Pinjarra Scarpside | Michael Grantham | 2 | Clint Johnston-Porter (2) | | |
20250405 | Ascot | Ms J Erkelens | 2 | Shaun O'Donnell (2) | | |
20250406 | Pioneer Park | Ms K Petrick | 2 | Adam Nicholls | Paul Denton | |
20250402 | Ascot | N D Parnham | 2 | Chris Parnham | Luke Campbell | |
20250405 | Kalgoorlie | N D Parnham | 2 | Keshaw Dhurun | Rocky Cheung | |
20250404 | Swan Hill | P A Preusker | 2 | Dean Yendall | Tom Madden | |
20250406 | Armidale | P J Cunningham | 2 | Wendy Peel (2) | | |
20250405 | Kalgoorlie | P J Fernie | 3 | Natasha Faithfull (2) | Victoria Corver | |
20250405 | Morphettville Parks | P Stokes | 2 | Lachlan Neindorf (2) | | |
20250402 | Ballarat | T Busuttin & N Young | 2 | Blake Shinn | Jamie Mott | |
20250405 | Eagle Farm | T J Gollan | 2 | Emily Lang | Ryan Maloney | |
20250401 | Doomben | T J Gollan | 2 | Martin Harley | Noel Callow | |
20250401 | Mackay | Tom Smith | 2 | Jackson Murphy | Ryan Wiggins | |
20250406 | Geraldton | W R Parker | 2 | Lisa Staples | Troy Turner | |
Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives Results
We publish these full results daily so that subscribers can see the results of the Wizard's ratings options, and Report-content, and thereby formulate a selecting and betting strategy that suits them individually. The Wizard ratings should not be seen as "tips", rather as objective assessments that can be used to inform one's own judgement as to the relative chances of the runners in a race.
The full day-by-day results for Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners, the Raceday Qualifier, and the Matrix (MaxR) 100 pointer and the MaxR top-two this week so far. The (4 weeks) column shows the results for the four weeks prior to the current week and the 2023-2024 column shows the WRat results for the full 2023-2024 racing season. This results summary is colour coded so that it is easier for readers to track the relative performance of the Top Rated (blue) and Top-Two Rated (green) ratings options on a daily, and longer term, basis.
Week ending 13/4 | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Week | 10/3 - 6/4 | 2023-2024 |
Wrat one top rated | 14.3% | 15.2% | 17.1% | | | | | | 28.9% | 26.0% |
Wrat top-two rated | 28.6% | 36.4% | 43.9% | | | | | | 46.1% | 42.7% |
Wrat top-three rated | 47.6% | 42.4% | 53.7% | | | | | | 59.3% | 57.0% |
Wrat top-four rated | 71.4% | 57.6% | 73.2% | | | | | | 70.4% | 67.7% |
Raceday - one qual. | 6.7% | 37.9% | 30.0% | | | | | | 32.3% | -- |
MaxR - Matrix 100 | 19.0% | 33.3% | 39.0% | | | | | | 33.9% | -- |
MaxR top-two rated | 38.1% | 48.5% | 48.8% | | | | | | 50.8% | -- |
The following table shows two week's results of possible Matrix Selectives combinations. These combinations are accessible via the Wizard MATRIX report which is posted to our website around 10:30am each day.
w/e 13.4.25 | RWM | RWM | Rday | Rday | Rday | Rday | Magic | Magic | Magic | Magic | R/M | R/M | R/M | R/M |
| 2/3# | 2/3% | WR1# | WR1% | MR1# | MR1% | WR1# | WR1% | MR1# | MR1% | WR1# | WR1% | MR1# | MR1% |
Last week | 36 | 55.6% | 90 | 44.4% | 76 | 47.4% | 27 | 55.6% | 19 | 52.6% | 24 | 54.2% | 18 | 50.0% |
Monday | 3 | 0.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 6 | 16.7% | 2 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0% |
Tuesday | 3 | 0.0% | 5 | 0.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.0% |
Wednesday | 4 | 25.0% | 9 | 33.3% | 9 | 55.6% | 3 | 33.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 3 | 33.3% |
(Key: The first of the two columns for each Selective combination shows number of qualifying races and the second column shows the strike rate. Headings: RWM is Raceday,Watch,Magic, RWM 2/3 means two or three qualifying, Rday is Raceday report qualifier , Magic is Magic report qualifier, R/M is Raceday and Magic, WR1 is Wrat 100, MR1 is MaxR 100.)