When to back the $50+ Wizard Expected Peak top-rated winners

Warren Block's Daily Report - Monday, 26 May 2025

  • When to back the $50+ Wizard Expected Peak top-rated winners
  • Matrix - day by day analysis for Monday and Tuesday racing
  • Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials report
  • Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives Results

 

When to back the $50+ Wizard Expected Peak top-rated winners

One of the truly valuable features of Wizard is its ratings options that assess each field in four different ways. This provides a unique insight into the relative chances of runners.

The most consistent source of longer priced winners is the Wizard Expected Peak rating. In this Monday Daily Report we always list for each Wizard Rating option the top-rated runners from the previous week that have won at double figure odds. In this report, the Expected Peak top-rater inevitably leads the way.

Whilst it is not recommended that all longer-priced Expected Peak top-raters should be supported win-only or each-way (individual examination of each runner's claims is recommended before supporting) it is suggested that consideration be given to including the Expected Peak top-rater on a regular basis in multiples combinations when betting the exotics.

The key to making money when betting the exotics is snaring the dividend that pays well above the odds. It is the kick to the betting bank that these out-sized dividends provide that leads to profitable exotics betting. You can't bet conservatively and find longer term success with exotics.

The Wizard directly helps in this quest for out-sized dividends by identifying a runner that has a definite chance to improve sharply on current revealed form - the Expected Peak top-rater.

Whether to include this Expected Peak top-rater in the win slot and placings, or only in the minor placings, is a decision that can be made on a race-to-race basis.

 

Matrix - day by day analysis for Monday and Tuesday racing

The tables show the results for the past eight weeks for the day on which racing occurred. So, today being Monday, this Matrix DOW (Day of Week) report covers the past eight Monday and Tuesday results. The day-after results are included so that they are available on race-eve, rather than only on race morning.

(The daily Matrix report aims to assist subscribers contain the number of bets to manageable proportions and improve the strike rate. The report is posted to our website between 10:30am and 10:45am each day with an update at 12 noon.)

Wizard Freebie - Wizard Essentials report

The Wizard publishes on this page one of its Wizard reports or special features, either completely or a part thereof. Today it is a Wizard Essentials Wrat 4 report. The full report and all other reports for all meetings for today are available now for subscribers.

The Wizard Essentials report is a really useful source for the key data that all race handicappers need at their fingertips. Included are the Wizard's four ratings assessments, each focusing on different time-proven ways of rating runners, and other key (likely) performance indicators, some of which are unique to the Wizard. For example, the Filter and Negatives assessments, the in-running (pace) insights, and form pattern stats (RFS).

 Click here for an explanation of the Essentials Wrat4 report

In addition to this Essentials WRat4 report there is also an Essentials Full-Field version available. Here is one race from that report for this meeting:

 

Wizard Ratings, Raceday, Matrix, and Selectives results and Weekly Summary

We publish these full results daily so that subscribers can see the results of the Wizard's ratings options, and Report-content, and thereby formulate a selecting and betting strategy that suits them individually. The Wizard ratings should not be seen as "tips", rather as objective assessments that can be used to inform one's own judgement as to the relative chances of the runners in a race.

The full day-by-day results for Wizard (Wrat) top 4 rated runners, the Raceday Qualifier, and the Matrix (MaxR) 100 pointer, the MaxR top-two, the Matrix *EOam+MaxR100 qualifier, the Matrix W1+MaxR100 qualifier, and the Matrix W1+*EO+MaxR100 qualifier. Also included are the overall results for last week and the previous four weeks. The 2023-2024 column shows the WRat results for the full 2023-2024 racing season. This results summary is colour coded so that it is easier for readers to track the relative performance of the Top Rated (blue) and Top-Two Rated (green) ratings options on a daily, and longer term, basis. The best overall qualifier (yellow) is also highlighted. (The Matrix report is posted to this website between 10:30am and 10:45am, and updated around 12 noon, each day.)

The following table shows this week's results of alternative options with respect to possible Matrix Selectives combinations, as well as weekly summaries. These combinations, which draw directly on the contributions of the Raceday and Magic reports, are accessible via the Wizard MATRIX report which is posted to our website around 10:30am, and updated at 12 noon, each day.

(Key: The first of the two columns for each Selective combination shows number of qualifying races and the second column shows the strike rate. Headings: RWM is Raceday,Watch,Magic,  RWM 2/3 means two or three qualifying, Rday is Raceday report qualifier , Magic is Magic report qualifier, R/M is Raceday and Magic, WR1 is Wrat 100, MR1 is MaxR 100.)

Some notable double-figure winners last week that were top rated on WMod, WHcp, WExpk and/or top-rated (WRat-1) or rated second top (WRat-2):

CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating 
COROWA19/05/2025712Goats On Oats18.20WRat-1 
HOBART25/05/2025112Whisper Of Matilda20.20WRat-2 
MILDURA25/05/202541Eight Under17.00WRat-1 & WMod
        
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating 
MILDURA25/05/202541Eight Under17.00WMod & WRat-1
        
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating 
BALLARAT25/05/2025710Lady Pappygate12.50WHcp 
GUNNEDAH25/05/2025417Kranich12.80WHcp 
        
CourseDateRaceTabHorseTAB WinRating 
IPSWICH21/05/202532Krakarib51.30WExpk 
LONGREACH24/05/202515Parues22.00WExpk 
SUNSHINE COAST25/05/202571Flywheel23.30WExpk 
MT GAMBIER25/05/2025611Alpinova12.40WExpk 

The following table shows where the winner of each race run yesterday was rated by WRat, WMod, WHcp, and WExpk and was the qualifier in the Wizard Raceday Report. (Note: The Wrat [W] winner results report on both the top rated and top-two rated winners.) The Raceday Report winners under the Top Rated column are from those races where there was only one Raceday qualifier, and under the Top 2 Rated on the rare occasions where there were two qualifiers in a race.

Header: WMHER = WRat (W), WMod (M), WHcp (H), WExpk (E), Raceday (R).

For a full explanation of the table click: How to read the Wizard Ratings Results



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